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YesYesYesNoNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will AD Alcorcon win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved Yes. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 60%
Total Value
$528.03
Combined PnL
$238.37
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$528.03
Total Shares528
Combined PnL+$244.72
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$6.36
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Yesavg 35.8¢ | $279.45 | $516.97 | +$237.52 | 48% 4837-5163 (10000) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Yesavg 34¢ | $2.06 | $6.06 | +$4 | 52% 2600-2380 (4980) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Yesavg 36¢ | $1.8 | $5 | +$3.2 | 41% 1224-1758 (2982) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Noavg 64¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 38% 1426-2282 (3708) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Noavg 63¢ | $3.15 | — | -$3.15 | 38% 1437-2336 (3773) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Noavg 9¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 48% 2658-2887 (5545) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Yesavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 64% 150-86 (236) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$279.45
Value
$516.97
PnL
+$237.52
Record
48%
4837-5163 (10000)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$2.06
Value
$6.06
PnL
+$4
Record
52%
2600-2380 (4980)
SE
sentrio<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.2
Record
41%
1224-1758 (2982)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
38%
1426-2282 (3708)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$3.15
Value
—
PnL
-$3.15
Record
38%
1437-2336 (3773)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
48%
2658-2887 (5545)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
150-86 (236)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf654ec82...1a44a2
Slug
es3-mur-alc-2026-11-15-alc