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YesYesNo
tradecraftCTR<$100No
VeryLucky888<$100YesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Aguilas FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
No 50%
Total Value
$274.29
Combined PnL
-$10.46
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$274.29
Total Shares274
Combined PnL+$181.56
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares263
Combined PnL-$192.02
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 27¢ | $52 | $192.59 | +$140.59 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Yesavg 42.4¢ | $40.03 | $79 | +$38.97 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
VE VenusianCTR | Noavg 73¢ | $152.73 | — | -$152.73 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $31.88 | — | -$31.88 | 31% 355-790 (1145) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $0.7 | $2.7 | +$2 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | $7.41 | — | -$7.41 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$52
Value
$192.59
PnL
+$140.59
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$40.03
Value
$79
PnL
+$38.97
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$152.73
Value
—
PnL
-$152.73
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$31.88
Value
—
PnL
-$31.88
Record
31%
355-790 (1145)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$0.7
Value
$2.7
PnL
+$2
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$7.41
Value
—
PnL
-$7.41
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x226c62ff...fed8fb
Slug
es3-maj-agu-2026-11-14-agu