Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
UD Ibiza vs. FC Cartagena: O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Under 83%
1 arb excluded
$2.1K
$1.2K
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 36.6¢ | $656.05 | $1.7K | +$1.1K | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 57.4¢ | $107.35 | $149.43 | +$42.08 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 19.7¢ | $29.49 | $149.43 | +$119.94 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 57.4¢ | $77.86 | — | -$77.86 | |
LI Limousin<$100 | Underavg 32.8¢ | $18.24 | $55.58 | +$37.34 | 38% 1318-2168 (3486) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 33¢ | $16.83 | $51 | +$34.17 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Underavg 31.8¢ | $11.67 | $36.73 | +$25.06 | 38% 1342-2182 (3524) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Overavg 23¢ | $20.85 | — | -$20.85 | 35% 628-1146 (1774) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 34¢ | $3.42 | $10.05 | +$6.63 | 47% 1186-1362 (2548) |
Invested
$656.05
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
Invested
$107.35
Value
$149.43
PnL
+$42.08
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
Both legs:
Invested
$18.24
Value
$55.58
PnL
+$37.34
Record
38%
1318-2168 (3486)
Invested
$16.83
Value
$51
PnL
+$34.17
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
Invested
$11.67
Value
$36.73
PnL
+$25.06
Record
38%
1342-2182 (3524)
Invested
$20.85
Value
—
PnL
-$20.85
Record
35%
628-1146 (1774)
Invested
$3.42
Value
$10.05
PnL
+$6.63
Record
47%
1186-1362 (2548)