Back to Markets
rayvanmechelenNoNo
VeryLucky888CTR<$100YesNo
tradecraftCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CE Europa win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$753.25
Combined PnL
$110.69
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$673.25
Total Shares673
Combined PnL+$217.88
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares330
Combined PnL-$107.19
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
rayvanmechelen | Noavg 67.3¢ | $429.82 | $638.25 | +$208.43 | 13% 44-292 (336) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Noavg 97.5¢ | $147 | $80 | -$67 | 53% 2235-2015 (4250) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 97.5¢ | $78 | $80 | +$2 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 33¢ | $69 | — | -$69 | |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 32.7¢ | $98.09 | — | -$98.09 | 54% 1497-1295 (2792) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $25.55 | $35 | +$9.45 | 49% 4087-4288 (8375) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 31¢ | $9.09 | — | -$9.09 | 31% 376-824 (1200) |
rayvanmechelenInvested
$429.82
Value
$638.25
PnL
+$208.43
Record
13%
44-292 (336)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$147
Value
$80
PnL
-$67
Record
53%
2235-2015 (4250)
Both legs:
No$7897.5¢+$2
Yes$6933¢-$69
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$98.09
Value
—
PnL
-$98.09
Record
54%
1497-1295 (2792)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$25.55
Value
$35
PnL
+$9.45
Record
49%
4087-4288 (8375)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$9.09
Value
—
PnL
-$9.09
Record
31%
376-824 (1200)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xfcef5818...5e5031
Slug
es3-eur-and-2026-11-14-eur