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VeryLucky888NoNoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will CD Teruel win on 2026-11-15?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$799.17
Combined PnL
$147.65
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$759.17
Total Shares759
Combined PnL+$151.05
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares17
Combined PnL-$3.4
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VeryLucky888 | Noavg 77¢ | $341.43 | $438.33 | +$100.6 | 53% 1889-1648 (3537) |
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 77.7¢ | $270.39 | $320.84 | +$50.45 | 49% 4635-4904 (9539) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Yesavg 22.4¢ | $128.29 | $40 | -$88.29 | 52% 2473-2263 (4736) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 22.4¢ | $94.29 | — | -$94.29 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 85¢ | $34 | $40 | +$6 | |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.9¢ | $6.4 | — | -$1.4 | 48% 2522-2734 (5256) |
0X 0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100 | Yesavg 23¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 21% 65-245 (310) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $300 | — | +$0 | 64% 145-81 (226) |
VeryLucky888Invested
$341.43
Value
$438.33
PnL
+$100.6
Record
53%
1889-1648 (3537)
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$270.39
Value
$320.84
PnL
+$50.45
Record
49%
4635-4904 (9539)
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$128.29
Value
$40
PnL
-$88.29
Record
52%
2473-2263 (4736)
Both legs:
Yes$94.2922.4¢-$94.29
No$3485¢+$6
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
48%
2522-2734 (5256)
0X
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
21%
65-245 (310)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$300
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
145-81 (226)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7a532579...947601
Slug
es3-atm-ter-2026-11-15-ter