Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Under β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Athletic Bilbao B vs. Racing Club de Ferrol: O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Under 100%
1 arb excluded
$5.9K
$4.0K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Underavg 15.5Β’ | $1.3K | $5.5K | +$4.2K | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 57.5Β’ | $287.72 | $396.79 | +$109.07 | 53% 2085-1830 (3915) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 29.2Β’ | $116.03 | $396.79 | +$280.76 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 57.5Β’ | $171.69 | β | -$171.69 | |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Underavg 10Β’ | $6.7 | $67 | +$60.3 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
LU LuckyLoo<$100 | Underavg 22Β’ | $4.23 | $19.23 | +$15 | 35% 440-800 (1240) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Underavg 23Β’ | $1.15 | $5 | +$3.85 | 42% 995-1363 (2358) |
0X 0x127e88ca7f26b32be5ff2b005c5478cbd3833dd8CTR | Overavg 85Β’ | $850 | β | -$262.42 | 48% 21-23 (44) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50Β’ | $141 | β | +$0 | 69% 132-60 (192) |
Invested
$1,304.55
Value
$5.5K
PnL
+$4.2K
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
Invested
$287.72
Value
$396.79
PnL
+$109.07
Record
53%
2085-1830 (3915)
Both legs:
Invested
$6.7
Value
$67
PnL
+$60.3
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)
Invested
$4.23
Value
$19.23
PnL
+$15
Record
35%
440-800 (1240)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.85
Record
42%
995-1363 (2358)
Invested
$850
Value
β
PnL
-$262.42
Record
48%
21-23 (44)
Invested
$141
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
132-60 (192)