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UnderUnderUnderOverUnder Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.
CF Algeciras vs. Antequera CF: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$5.42
Combined PnL
-$60.11
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares191
Combined PnL-$61.63
Over1 trader
Total Value$5.42
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$1.52
Under β 80%Over β 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 34Β’ | $48.16 | β | -$48.16 | 49% 4712-4983 (9695) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 27Β’ | $7.26 | β | -$7.26 | 38% 1375-2257 (3632) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 27.7Β’ | $6.21 | β | -$6.21 | 52% 2510-2301 (4811) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Overavg 72Β’ | $3.9 | $5.42 | +$1.52 | 29% 96-237 (333) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50Β’ | $200 | β | +$0 | 64% 145-83 (228) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$48.16
Value
β
PnL
-$48.16
Record
49%
4712-4983 (9695)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$7.26
Value
β
PnL
-$7.26
Record
38%
1375-2257 (3632)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$6.21
Value
β
PnL
-$6.21
Record
52%
2510-2301 (4811)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
$5.42
PnL
+$1.52
Record
29%
96-237 (333)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$200
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
145-83 (228)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeb4adb6d...607b71
Slug
es3-alg-ant-2026-11-15-total-0pt5