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UnderUnderUnder
RN1<$100UnderOver
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Real Valladolid CF vs. CD Castellón: O/U 5.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Under 80%
Total Value
$254.11
Combined PnL
-$20.57
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$254.11
Total Shares254
Combined PnL-$19.57
Over1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$1
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Underavg 91¢ | $131.89 | $119.11 | -$12.78 | 53% 2094-1845 (3939) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100 | Underavg 91¢ | $83.72 | $92 | +$8.28 | 48% 288-310 (598) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 92.5¢ | $53.14 | $38 | -$15.14 | 49% 3844-4007 (7851) |
RN1<$100 | Underavg 98.6¢ | $4.93 | $5 | +$0.07 | 55% 5370-4319 (9689) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Overavg 2¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 53% 7092-6207 (13299) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$131.89
Value
$119.11
PnL
-$12.78
Record
53%
2094-1845 (3939)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100Invested
$83.72
Value
$92
PnL
+$8.28
Record
48%
288-310 (598)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$53.14
Value
$38
PnL
-$15.14
Record
49%
3844-4007 (7851)
RN1<$100Invested
$4.93
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.07
Record
55%
5370-4319 (9689)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
53%
7092-6207 (13299)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x01c99288...e92f25
Slug
es2-vld-cas-2026-11-14-total-5pt5