Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Cádiz CF — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Cádiz CF
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
Resolved Cádiz CF. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Cádiz CF. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Cádiz CF 57%
1 arb excluded
$6.4K
-$336.48
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Cádiz CFavg 98.9¢ | $5.3K | $4.9K | -$328.57 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Cádiz CFavg 92¢ | $985 | $1.0K | +$40 | 52% 2587-2373 (4960) |
LO looppau | Cádiz CFavg 99.9¢ | $369.19 | $369.56 | +$0.37 | 99% 872-2 (874) |
 RN1ARB<$100 | Cádiz CFavg 82¢ | $111.57 | $100 | -$11.57 | 54% 6095-5185 (11280) |
| └ Cádiz CF leg | Cádiz CFavg 82¢ | $82 | $100 | +$18 | |
| └ SD Eibar leg | SD Eibaravg 8¢ | $29.57 | — | -$29.57 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | SD Eibaravg 9¢ | $29.67 | — | -$29.67 | 46% 1234-1428 (2662) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | SD Eibaravg 9¢ | $18 | — | -$18 | 39% 1657-2634 (4291) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Cádiz CFavg 96¢ | $4.81 | $5 | +$0.19 | 48% 2643-2871 (5514) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | SD Eibaravg 4¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 49% 1197-1222 (2419) |
Invested
$5,263.66
Value
$4.9K
PnL
-$328.57
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
Invested
$985
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$40
Record
52%
2587-2373 (4960)
Invested
$369.19
Value
$369.56
PnL
+$0.37
Record
99%
872-2 (874)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$111.57
Value
$100
PnL
-$11.57
Record
54%
6095-5185 (11280)
Both legs:
Invested
$29.67
Value
—
PnL
-$29.67
Record
46%
1234-1428 (2662)
Invested
$18
Value
—
PnL
-$18
Record
39%
1657-2634 (4291)
Invested
$4.81
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.19
Record
48%
2643-2871 (5514)
Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
49%
1197-1222 (2419)