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NoYesNoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: SD Eibar 2 - 1 Cádiz CF?
Resolved No. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
No 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$1.4K
Combined PnL
$152.7
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$1.3K
Total Shares1,276
Combined PnL+$154.34
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares22
Combined PnL-$1.65
No — 75%Yes — 25%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MA MadridTime | Noavg 88¢ | $1.1K | $1.2K | +$148.45 | 38% 1416-2272 (3688) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 11.8¢ | $338.92 | $172.97 | -$165.96 | 48% 4819-5125 (9944) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 11.8¢ | $181.05 | — | -$181.05 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 91.3¢ | $157.87 | $172.97 | +$15.1 | |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 84.4¢ | $25.16 | $29.82 | +$4.66 | 38% 1425-2328 (3753) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $9.09 | $10.33 | +$1.24 | 46% 1234-1428 (2662) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7.6¢ | $6.58 | — | -$1.65 | 48% 2643-2871 (5514) |
MA
MadridTimeInvested
$1,087.58
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$148.45
Record
38%
1416-2272 (3688)
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$338.92
Value
$172.97
PnL
-$165.96
Record
48%
4819-5125 (9944)
Both legs:
Yes$181.0511.8¢-$181.05
No$157.8791.3¢+$15.1
LI
LightParadox<$100Invested
$25.16
Value
$29.82
PnL
+$4.66
Record
38%
1425-2328 (3753)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$9.09
Value
$10.33
PnL
+$1.24
Record
46%
1234-1428 (2662)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$6.58
Value
—
PnL
-$1.65
Record
48%
2643-2871 (5514)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8570eb27...6c498b
Slug
es2-eib-cad-2026-11-15-exact-score-2-1