Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: CD Tenerife 0 - 1 AD Ceuta FC?
Resolved No. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
No 29%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$55.68
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Noavg 99.1¢ | $727.39 | $734 | +$6.61 | 54% 6019-5096 (11115) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 6.4¢ | $325.09 | $140 | -$185.09 | 49% 4676-4943 (9619) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 6.4¢ | $185.37 | — | -$185.37 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 99.8¢ | $139.72 | $140 | +$0.28 | |
MA MarquisDeMott | Noavg 99.1¢ | $152.61 | $154 | +$1.39 | 94% 149-9 (158) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 59% 3950-2729 (6679) |
GC GC-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $21 | — | -$21 | 42% 548-748 (1296) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.7¢ | $20 | — | -$15 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 5.4¢ | $6.37 | — | -$6.37 | 41% 1189-1686 (2875) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 6¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 48% 2555-2763 (5318) |
RN1Invested
$727.39
Value
$734
PnL
+$6.61
Record
54%
6019-5096 (11115)
Invested
$325.09
Value
$140
PnL
-$185.09
Record
49%
4676-4943 (9619)
Both legs:
Invested
$152.61
Value
$154
PnL
+$1.39
Record
94%
149-9 (158)
Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
59%
3950-2729 (6679)
Invested
$21
Value
—
PnL
-$21
Record
42%
548-748 (1296)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$15
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
Invested
$6.37
Value
—
PnL
-$6.37
Record
41%
1189-1686 (2875)
Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
48%
2555-2763 (5318)