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YesYesNoNo
VeryLucky888<$100NoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
CD Tenerife vs. AD Ceuta FC: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 50%
Total Value
$137.47
Combined PnL
$44.28
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares807
Combined PnL-$36.33
No3 traders
Total Value$137.47
Total Shares137
Combined PnL+$80.61
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $28 | — | -$28 | 38% 1332-2185 (3517) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 38% 1348-2243 (3591) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100 | Noavg 32¢ | $20.14 | $62.93 | +$42.79 | 29% 96-237 (333) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 33.7¢ | $16.72 | $49.54 | +$32.82 | 39% 1579-2471 (4050) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $20 | $25 | +$5 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
WA WagerWizardCTR<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $4.33 | — | -$4.33 | 51% 242-233 (475) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Yesavg 50¢ | $387 | — | +$0 | 64% 145-83 (228) |
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$28
Value
—
PnL
-$28
Record
38%
1332-2185 (3517)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
38%
1348-2243 (3591)
0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100Invested
$20.14
Value
$62.93
PnL
+$42.79
Record
29%
96-237 (333)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$16.72
Value
$49.54
PnL
+$32.82
Record
39%
1579-2471 (4050)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$20
Value
$25
PnL
+$5
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
WA
WagerWizardCTR<$100Invested
$4.33
Value
—
PnL
-$4.33
Record
51%
242-233 (475)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$387
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
145-83 (228)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x191c2908...b11aef
Slug
es2-cdt-ceu-2026-11-15-btts-first-half