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UnderOverUnderUnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
UD Almería vs. FC Andorra: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 80%
Total Value
$37
Combined PnL
-$45.86
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares618
Combined PnL-$49.93
Over2 traders
Total Value$37
Total Shares37
Combined PnL+$4.07
Under — 67%Over — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 8¢ | $45.13 | — | -$45.13 | 49% 4068-4262 (8330) |
SM smithagent<$100 | Overavg 89¢ | $32.93 | $37 | +$4.07 | 45% 699-859 (1558) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 11¢ | $2.41 | — | -$2.41 | 37% 1030-1762 (2792) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 6.5¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 53% 2221-2002 (4223) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 2212-2378 (4590) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Overavg 50¢ | $800 | — | +$0 | 69% 134-60 (194) |
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$45.13
Value
—
PnL
-$45.13
Record
49%
4068-4262 (8330)
SM
smithagent<$100Invested
$32.93
Value
$37
PnL
+$4.07
Record
45%
699-859 (1558)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$2.41
Value
—
PnL
-$2.41
Record
37%
1030-1762 (2792)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
53%
2221-2002 (4223)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
2212-2378 (4590)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesInvested
$800
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
134-60 (194)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x28b838a2...22323a
Slug
es2-alm-and-2026-11-14-total-0pt5