Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: O/U 4.5
Resolved Over. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Under 57%
$468.19
-$674.47
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189 | Overavg 55.1¢ | $349.07 | $317.07 | -$3.59 | 48% 70301-75984 (146285) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 75¢ | $362.4 | — | -$634.16 | 52% 47368-44608 (91976) |
MA MadridTime | Overavg 25¢ | $28.78 | $115.12 | +$86.34 | 47% 2148-2414 (4562) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Overavg 78¢ | $28.08 | $36 | +$7.92 | 50% 48622-48197 (96819) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 76¢ | $140.17 | — | -$107.53 | 50% 32582-32710 (65292) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Underavg 19¢ | $123.42 | — | -$23.45 | 50% 23496-23498 (46994) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 75.5¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $90 | — | +$0 | 56% 195-152 (347) |
Invested
$349.07
Value
$317.07
PnL
-$3.59
Record
48%
70301-75984 (146285)
Invested
$362.4
Value
—
PnL
-$634.16
Record
52%
47368-44608 (91976)
Invested
$28.78
Value
$115.12
PnL
+$86.34
Record
47%
2148-2414 (4562)
Invested
$28.08
Value
$36
PnL
+$7.92
Record
50%
48622-48197 (96819)
Invested
$140.17
Value
—
PnL
-$107.53
Record
50%
32582-32710 (65292)
Invested
$123.42
Value
—
PnL
-$23.45
Record
50%
23496-23498 (46994)
Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
Invested
$90
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-152 (347)