Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was No β and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-11-14?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
π
Won
5
No 60%
1 arb excluded
$428.8
$48.47
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 30.1Β’ | $523.25 | $81.06 | -$442.19 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| β Yes leg | Yesavg 30.1Β’ | $489.5 | β | -$489.5 | |
| β No leg | Noavg 41.6Β’ | $33.76 | $81.06 | +$47.3 | |
MA MadridTime | Noavg 55.8Β’ | $96.81 | $173.43 | +$76.62 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
VE Venusian | Noavg 92.5Β’ | $152.28 | $164.54 | +$12.26 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 22Β’ | $44.66 | β | -$44.66 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
LI LightParadox<$100 | Noavg 42Β’ | $4.1 | $9.76 | +$5.66 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 59Β’ | $1.42 | β | -$1.42 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
Invested
$523.25
Value
$81.06
PnL
-$442.19
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Invested
$96.81
Value
$173.43
PnL
+$76.62
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$152.28
Value
$164.54
PnL
+$12.26
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$44.66
Value
β
PnL
-$44.66
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$9.76
PnL
+$5.66
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$1.42
Value
β
PnL
-$1.42
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)