Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Harrogate Town AFC vs. Altrincham FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
9
Under 67%
$58.6
-$201.67
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 39.1Β’ | $104.43 | β | -$104.43 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Overavg 53.7Β’ | $16.43 | $30.59 | +$14.16 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
SP SpringlyFawlCTR<$100 | Underavg 1Β’ | $7.2 | β | -$7.2 | 3% 9-291 (300) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Overavg 53.5Β’ | $12.31 | $23.01 | +$10.7 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 40.5Β’ | $80.99 | β | -$80.99 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Overavg 60Β’ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 47.6Β’ | $21.26 | β | -$21.26 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 40Β’ | $9.16 | β | -$9.16 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 43Β’ | $5.49 | β | -$5.49 | 36% 975-1701 (2676) |
Invested
$104.43
Value
β
PnL
-$104.43
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$16.43
Value
$30.59
PnL
+$14.16
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)
Invested
$7.2
Value
β
PnL
-$7.2
Record
3%
9-291 (300)
Invested
$12.31
Value
$23.01
PnL
+$10.7
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$80.99
Value
β
PnL
-$80.99
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
Invested
$21.26
Value
β
PnL
-$21.26
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
Invested
$9.16
Value
β
PnL
-$9.16
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
Invested
$5.49
Value
β
PnL
-$5.49
Record
36%
975-1701 (2676)