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NoYes
tradecraftCTR<$100YesYes
RN1CTR<$100YesYesNo
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Harrogate Town AFC vs. Altrincham FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 83%
Total Value
$61.37
Combined PnL
-$9.34
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 7 top traders (71%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$61.37
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$5.69
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares86
Combined PnL-$15.04
No — 29%Yes — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 89.4¢ | $57.31 | $61.35 | +$4.04 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | $9.15 | — | -$9.15 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 17¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 31% 355-790 (1145) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20¢ | $2.64 | — | -$2.64 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
RN1CTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 36% 477-850 (1327) |
VA Vampiro1<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | $12 | $0.02 | +$1.65 | 85% 216-39 (255) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$57.31
Value
$61.35
PnL
+$4.04
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
—
PnL
-$9.15
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
31%
355-790 (1145)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$2.64
Value
—
PnL
-$2.64
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
36%
477-850 (1327)
VA
Vampiro1<$100Invested
$12
Value
$0.02
PnL
+$1.65
Record
85%
216-39 (255)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xee9cb572...74afed
Slug
enl-ht-alt-2026-11-14-draw