Back to Markets
OverUnderOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Hartlepool United FC vs. Wealdstone FC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$82.66
Combined PnL
-$9.82
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares46
Combined PnL-$12.46
Over1 trader
Total Value$12.64
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$2.64
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 88.2¢ | $111.09 | $70.01 | -$41.07 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 88.2¢ | $61.73 | $70.01 | +$8.28 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 40.4¢ | $49.36 | — | -$49.36 | |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 20.9¢ | $6.48 | — | -$6.48 | 47% 936-1036 (1972) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 79.1¢ | $10 | $12.64 | +$2.64 | 40% 442-667 (1109) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 49¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Underavg 21.1¢ | $1.16 | — | -$1.16 | 42% 1030-1415 (2445) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 37.3¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$111.09
Value
$70.01
PnL
-$41.07
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Over$61.7388.2¢+$8.28
Under$49.3640.4¢-$49.36
SN
SnakeBallCTR<$100Invested
$6.48
Value
—
PnL
-$6.48
Record
47%
936-1036 (1972)
PA
pauleta23<$100Invested
$10
Value
$12.64
PnL
+$2.64
Record
40%
442-667 (1109)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$1.16
Value
—
PnL
-$1.16
Record
42%
1030-1415 (2445)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x7104c484...56c885
Slug
enl-har-wea-2026-11-14-total-0pt5