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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Hartlepool United FC win on 2026-11-14?

Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Yes 45%

Total Value

$302.87

Combined PnL

$-1.1K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

5 of 13 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,201
Combined PnL$-1.2K
No8 traders
Total Value$302.87
Total Shares303
Combined PnL+$107.2
Yes — 38%No — 62%
FL
FlaznorpCTR
Yes

Invested

$1,138.33

Value

—

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

49%

3959-4107 (8066)

VE
Venusian
No

Invested

$79.02

Value

$119.26

PnL

+$40.24

Record

37%

991-1715 (2706)

GO
GoalLineGhost
No

Invested

$60.72

Value

$108.28

PnL

+$47.56

Record

53%

2162-1905 (4067)

poshposh<$100
No

Invested

$43.99

Value

$48.34

PnL

+$4.35

Record

49%

1169-1236 (2405)

LI
LightParadox<$100
No

Invested

$9.35

Value

$12.47

PnL

+$3.12

Record

37%

1002-1720 (2722)

0X
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000<$100
No

Invested

$5.1

Value

$10.47

PnL

+$5.37

Record

26%

61-178 (239)

TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$5.99

Value

—

PnL

-$5.99

Record

37%

1063-1796 (2859)

SM
smithagent<$100
No

Invested

$3.37

Value

$4.06

PnL

+$0.69

Record

45%

679-837 (1516)

tradecraftCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$24.3

Value

—

PnL

-$24.3

Record

31%

355-790 (1145)

SL
SlickRick123CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.19

Value

—

PnL

-$2.19

Record

34%

377-716 (1093)

FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$16.28

Value

—

PnL

+$1.22

Record

48%

2157-2304 (4461)

VA
Vampiro1<$100
No

Invested

$23.43

Value

—

PnL

+$5.78

Record

85%

216-39 (255)

VeryLucky888<$100
No

Invested

$5.4

Value

—

PnL

+$0.1

Record

54%

1417-1228 (2645)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4341962b...dc3da4
Slug
enl-har-wea-2026-11-14-har

Traders in this Market

FL

Flaznorp

CTR

Yes — $0

$-1.1K
VE

Venusian

No — $119.26

+$40.24
GO

GoalLineGhost

No — $108.28

+$47.56

poshposh

No — $48.34

+$4.35
LI

LightParadox

No — $12.47

+$3.12
0X

0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000

No — $10.47

+$5.37
TO

topdogbigboi

CTR

Yes — $0

-$5.99
SM

smithagent

No — $4.06

+$0.69

tradecraft

CTR

Yes — $0

-$24.3
SL

SlickRick123

CTR

Yes — $0

-$2.19
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