Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Under β but Over won instead.

Gateshead FC vs. Barrow AFC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
8
Under 75%
$27.76
-$34.62
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 17.4Β’ | $14.64 | β | -$14.64 | 47% 936-1036 (1972) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 78.7Β’ | $20 | $25.41 | +$5.41 | 40% 442-667 (1109) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 25Β’ | $13.78 | β | -$13.78 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 34.7Β’ | $5.2 | β | -$5.2 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 24Β’ | $3.6 | β | -$3.6 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
![]() RN1CTR<$100 | Underavg 26Β’ | $2.81 | β | -$2.81 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
SU suntori<$100 | Overavg 81Β’ | $1.9 | $2.35 | +$0.45 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
![]() VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 19Β’ | $0.45 | β | -$0.45 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
Invested
$14.64
Value
β
PnL
-$14.64
Record
47%
936-1036 (1972)
Invested
$20
Value
$25.41
PnL
+$5.41
Record
40%
442-667 (1109)
Invested
$13.78
Value
β
PnL
-$13.78
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Invested
$5.2
Value
β
PnL
-$5.2
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
-$3.6
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$2.81
Value
β
PnL
-$2.81
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$2.35
PnL
+$0.45
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$0.45
Value
β
PnL
-$0.45
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)