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OverOverOverOver
VeryLucky888<$100UnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Carlisle United FC vs. Boston United FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved Under. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$55.45
Combined PnL
-$151.16
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares336
Combined PnL-$153.77
Under1 trader
Total Value$1.27
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$2.61
Over — 80%Under — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 45.9¢ | $905.25 | $54.18 | -$851.07 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 45.9¢ | $875.14 | — | -$875.14 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 55.6¢ | $30.11 | $54.18 | +$24.07 | |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 45.9¢ | $77.41 | — | -$77.41 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 9¢ | $10.78 | — | -$10.78 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 45.5¢ | $24.04 | — | -$24.04 | 42% 1030-1415 (2445) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Underavg 52¢ | $45.66 | $1.27 | +$2.61 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Overavg 47¢ | $47.61 | — | -$41.53 | 46% 2743-3256 (5999) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$905.25
Value
$54.18
PnL
-$851.07
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Over$875.1445.9¢-$875.14
Under$30.1155.6¢+$24.07
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$77.41
Value
—
PnL
-$77.41
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$10.78
Value
—
PnL
-$10.78
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$24.04
Value
—
PnL
-$24.04
Record
42%
1030-1415 (2445)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$45.66
Value
$1.27
PnL
+$2.61
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$47.61
Value
—
PnL
-$41.53
Record
46%
2743-3256 (5999)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd07e44f2...676106
Slug
enl-car-bos-2026-11-14-total-3pt5