Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Under — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Under
Carlisle United FC vs. Boston United FC: O/U 2.5
Resolved Under. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Under 50%
1 arb excluded
$488.43
$169.32
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VE Venusian | Underavg 40¢ | $116.29 | $290.73 | +$174.44 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 58.7¢ | $286.65 | $129.44 | -$157.22 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 58.7¢ | $241.43 | — | -$241.43 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 34.9¢ | $45.22 | $129.44 | +$84.21 | |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Overavg 54¢ | $38.2 | — | -$38.2 | 55% 5402-4371 (9773) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Underavg 42¢ | $16.5 | $39.28 | +$22.78 | 37% 1063-1796 (2859) |
 poshposh<$100 | Underavg 41¢ | $11.89 | $28.99 | +$17.1 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Overavg 35.7¢ | $10.97 | — | -$10.97 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Overavg 68¢ | $3.4 | — | -$3.4 | 48% 2157-2304 (4461) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Underavg 62¢ | $12.38 | $0 | +$7.57 | 83% 746-157 (903) |
Invested
$116.29
Value
$290.73
PnL
+$174.44
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
Invested
$286.65
Value
$129.44
PnL
-$157.22
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$38.2
Value
—
PnL
-$38.2
Record
55%
5402-4371 (9773)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$39.28
PnL
+$22.78
Record
37%
1063-1796 (2859)
poshposh<$100Invested
$11.89
Value
$28.99
PnL
+$17.1
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
Invested
$10.97
Value
—
PnL
-$10.97
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Invested
$3.4
Value
—
PnL
-$3.4
Record
48%
2157-2304 (4461)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$12.38
Value
$0
PnL
+$7.57
Record
83%
746-157 (903)