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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYesYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?
Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
8
No 50%
Total Value
$997.39
Combined PnL
$87.38
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$997.39
Total Shares997
Combined PnL+$99.89
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares375
Combined PnL-$12.51
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BI bipbipbop | Noavg 98.3¢ | $897.5 | $997.39 | +$99.89 | 64% 2387-1319 (3706) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.3¢ | $12.51 | — | -$12.51 | — 0-15 (15) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 96.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 21118-13450 (34568) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 1867-2305 (4172) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6553-5771 (12324) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 13799-10572 (24371) |
PO poposubCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 2054-2465 (4519) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15586-27535 (43121) |
BI
bipbipbopInvested
$897.5
Value
$997.39
PnL
+$99.89
Record
64%
2387-1319 (3706)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$12.51
Value
—
PnL
-$12.51
Record
—
0-15 (15)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21118-13450 (34568)
12
123987456<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1867-2305 (4172)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6553-5771 (12324)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
13799-10572 (24371)
PO
poposubCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
2054-2465 (4519)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15586-27535 (43121)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbd4c3d42...b149e4
Slug
elon-musk-of-tweets-october-27-november-3-2026-220-239