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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026?

Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Yes 100%

Total Value

$0.01

Combined PnL

-$37.14

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No1 trader

Total Value$0.01

Total Shares0

Combined PnL-$0.26

Yes8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares615

Combined PnL-$36.88

No — 11%Yes — 89%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
XT xtxpleasecallme<$100	Noavg 99.9¢	$8	$0.01	-$0.26	39% 3605-5672 (9277)
balthazarCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$3.33	—	-$3.33	44% 5041-6482 (11523)
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$67.25	—	-$2.38	18% 853-3905 (4758)
LucerysCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$10.44	—	-$10.25	36% 3731-6727 (10458)
KA kaxel78CTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$0.25	—	-$0.24	26% 548-1574 (2122)
WA WarriorHCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$7.4	—	-$7.03	10% 15-132 (147)
SM smallreceiptCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$1	—	-$0.97	29% 232-564 (796)
TH TheGreatBetaCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$9.87	—	-$9.81	17% 8-40 (48)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 3.3¢	$2.87	—	-$2.87	53% 1598-1443 (3041)

xtxpleasecallme<$100

Invested

$8

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$0.26

Record

39%

3605-5672 (9277)

balthazarCTR<$100

Invested

$3.33

Value

—

PnL

-$3.33

Record

44%

5041-6482 (11523)

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100

Invested

$67.25

Value

—

PnL

-$2.38

Record

18%

853-3905 (4758)

LucerysCTR<$100

Invested

$10.44

Value

—

PnL

-$10.25

Record

36%

3731-6727 (10458)

kaxel78CTR<$100

Invested

$0.25

Value

—

PnL

-$0.24

Record

26%

548-1574 (2122)

WarriorHCTR<$100

Invested

$7.4

Value

—

PnL

-$7.03

Record

10%

15-132 (147)

smallreceiptCTR<$100

Invested

$1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.97

Record

29%

232-564 (796)

TheGreatBetaCTR<$100

Invested

$9.87

Value

—

PnL

-$9.81

Record

17%

8-40 (48)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

$2.87

Value

—

PnL

-$2.87

Record

53%

1598-1443 (3041)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

8 of 9 top traders (89%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x163bbc37...c86869

Slug

elon-musk-of-tweets-november-13-november-20-2026-0-19

Traders in this Market

xtxpleasecallme

No — $0.01

balthazar

Yes — $0

0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179

Yes — $0

Lucerys

Yes — $0

kaxel78

Yes — $0

WarriorH

Yes — $0

smallreceipt

Yes — $0

TheGreatBeta

Yes — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

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