Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

Shrewsbury Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Over 33%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
$522.13
Smart Money Signal
2 of 6 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Overavg 40.7Β’ | $412.37 | $969.24 | +$556.88 | 53% 2108-1855 (3963) |
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Underavg 56.2Β’ | $905.39 | $311.63 | -$593.76 | 49% 3867-4029 (7896) |
| β Under leg | Underavg 56.2Β’ | $614.65 | β | -$614.65 | |
| β Over leg | Overavg 93.3Β’ | $290.74 | $311.63 | +$20.88 | |
![]() poshposh | Overavg 97Β’ | $101.69 | $104.84 | +$3.15 | 48% 1134-1214 (2348) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 34.1Β’ | $9.89 | β | -$9.89 | 36% 950-1657 (2607) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 60.4Β’ | $15.79 | β | -$15.79 | 48% 2109-2267 (4376) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 37Β’ | $6.96 | β | -$6.96 | 36% 455-810 (1265) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 30Β’ | $5.25 | β | -$5.25 | 37% 985-1642 (2627) |
Invested
$412.37
Value
$969.24
PnL
+$556.88
Record
53%
2108-1855 (3963)
Invested
$905.39
Value
$311.63
PnL
-$593.76
Record
49%
3867-4029 (7896)
Both legs:
poshposhInvested
$101.69
Value
$104.84
PnL
+$3.15
Record
48%
1134-1214 (2348)
Invested
$9.89
Value
β
PnL
-$9.89
Record
36%
950-1657 (2607)
Invested
$15.79
Value
β
PnL
-$15.79
Record
48%
2109-2267 (4376)
Invested
$6.96
Value
β
PnL
-$6.96
Record
36%
455-810 (1265)
Invested
$5.25
Value
β
PnL
-$5.25
Record
37%
985-1642 (2627)