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UnderUnderOverUnderUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Shrewsbury Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: O/U 0.5
Resolved Over. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Under 86%
Total Value
$125.73
Combined PnL
-$494.06
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,702
Combined PnL-$563.21
Over1 trader
Total Value$125.73
Total Shares126
Combined PnL+$69.15
Under — 86%Over — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpCTR | Underavg 28.8¢ | $416.52 | — | -$416.52 | 49% 3867-4029 (7896) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Underavg 47.3¢ | $131.29 | — | -$131.29 | 53% 2108-1855 (3963) |
CC ccllar | Overavg 45¢ | $56.58 | $125.73 | +$69.15 | 40% 51-75 (126) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 17.1¢ | $5.79 | — | -$5.79 | 37% 985-1642 (2627) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 18¢ | $3.29 | — | -$3.29 | 36% 455-810 (1265) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Underavg 48¢ | $5.32 | — | -$5.32 | 36% 950-1657 (2607) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Underavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 48% 2109-2267 (4376) |
FL
FlaznorpCTRInvested
$416.52
Value
—
PnL
-$416.52
Record
49%
3867-4029 (7896)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$131.29
Value
—
PnL
-$131.29
Record
53%
2108-1855 (3963)
CC
ccllarInvested
$56.58
Value
$125.73
PnL
+$69.15
Record
40%
51-75 (126)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$5.79
Value
—
PnL
-$5.79
Record
37%
985-1642 (2627)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$3.29
Value
—
PnL
-$3.29
Record
36%
455-810 (1265)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$5.32
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
36%
950-1657 (2607)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
48%
2109-2267 (4376)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x29a0d0aa...b984eb
Slug
el2-shr-old-2026-11-14-total-0pt5