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UnderUnderUnderUnderUnderUnder
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Under
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Salford City FC vs. Northampton Town FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Under 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$57.6
Combined PnL
-$58.89
Smart Money Signal
Under
6 of 6 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares214
Combined PnL-$58.89
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Underavg 19.9¢ | $130.15 | $57.6 | -$72.55 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 19.9¢ | $78.89 | — | -$78.89 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 89¢ | $51.26 | $57.6 | +$6.34 | |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $28.66 | — | -$28.66 | 37% 1002-1720 (2722) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Underavg 17.8¢ | $11.34 | — | -$11.34 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Underavg 32¢ | $8 | — | -$8 | 36% 477-850 (1327) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 31¢ | $7.21 | — | -$7.21 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 30¢ | $3.05 | — | -$3.05 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Underavg 25¢ | $0.63 | — | -$0.63 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100Invested
$130.15
Value
$57.6
PnL
-$72.55
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
Both legs:
Under$78.8919.9¢-$78.89
Over$51.2689¢+$6.34
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$28.66
Value
—
PnL
-$28.66
Record
37%
1002-1720 (2722)
FL
FlaznorpCTR<$100Invested
$11.34
Value
—
PnL
-$11.34
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$8
Value
—
PnL
-$8
Record
36%
477-850 (1327)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$7.21
Value
—
PnL
-$7.21
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$3.05
Value
—
PnL
-$3.05
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$0.63
Value
—
PnL
-$0.63
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3f95947c...10bcac
Slug
el2-sal-nth-2026-11-14-total-1pt5