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NoYes
tradecraftCTR<$100YesYesYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Rochdale AFC vs. York City FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$19.99
Combined PnL
-$37.49
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No1 trader
Total Value$19.99
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$9.76
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares284
Combined PnL-$27.73
No — 17%Yes — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $29.75 | $19.99 | -$9.76 | 49% 3867-4029 (7896) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 10.1¢ | $22.44 | — | -$22.44 | 36% 455-810 (1265) |
tradecraftCTR<$100 | Yesavg 8.8¢ | $4.4 | — | -$4.4 | 31% 343-780 (1123) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9¢ | $0.46 | — | -$0.46 | 48% 2109-2267 (4376) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $0.35 | — | -$0.35 | 37% 968-1674 (2642) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | $0.08 | — | -$0.08 | 53% 2108-1855 (3963) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$29.75
Value
$19.99
PnL
-$9.76
Record
49%
3867-4029 (7896)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
$22.44
Value
—
PnL
-$22.44
Record
36%
455-810 (1265)
tradecraftCTR<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
—
PnL
-$4.4
Record
31%
343-780 (1123)
FE
ferdinand2CTR<$100Invested
$0.46
Value
—
PnL
-$0.46
Record
48%
2109-2267 (4376)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$0.35
Value
—
PnL
-$0.35
Record
37%
968-1674 (2642)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$0.08
Value
—
PnL
-$0.08
Record
53%
2108-1855 (3963)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9fa1b6c1...887745
Slug
el2-roc-yor-2026-11-14-draw