Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Rochdale AFC vs. York City FC: Both Teams to Score
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
No 67%
2 arb excluded
$2.9K
$1.1K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 6 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Yesavg 33.6¢ | $1.1K | $868.96 | -$275.63 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 33.6¢ | $785 | — | -$785 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 41.4¢ | $359.6 | $868.96 | +$509.37 | |
LO lonmi2511 | Noavg 38.1¢ | $550.14 | $1.4K | +$893.82 | 59% 717-490 (1207) |
 VeryLucky888 | Noavg 38¢ | $117.12 | $308 | +$190.88 | 54% 1417-1228 (2645) |
 poshposhARB<$100 | Noavg 37¢ | $121.14 | $213.9 | +$92.76 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 37¢ | $79.14 | $213.9 | +$134.76 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 28¢ | $42 | — | -$42 | |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $84.21 | — | -$84.21 | 36% 477-850 (1327) |
SE sentrio<$100 | Noavg 40.1¢ | $33.61 | $83.9 | +$50.29 | 42% 1030-1415 (2445) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Yesavg 28¢ | $17.51 | — | -$17.51 | 53% 7137-6246 (13383) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 44.9¢ | $13.77 | $30.68 | +$16.91 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
Invested
$1,144.6
Value
$868.96
PnL
-$275.63
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Invested
$550.14
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$893.82
Record
59%
717-490 (1207)
VeryLucky888Invested
$117.12
Value
$308
PnL
+$190.88
Record
54%
1417-1228 (2645)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$121.14
Value
$213.9
PnL
+$92.76
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
Both legs:
Invested
$84.21
Value
—
PnL
-$84.21
Record
36%
477-850 (1327)
Invested
$33.61
Value
$83.9
PnL
+$50.29
Record
42%
1030-1415 (2445)
Invested
$17.51
Value
—
PnL
-$17.51
Record
53%
7137-6246 (13383)
Invested
$13.77
Value
$30.68
PnL
+$16.91
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)