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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.

Will Newport County AFC win on 2026-11-14?

Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Yes 33%

Total Value

$473.37

Combined PnL

-$897.46

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,041

Combined PnL$-1.2K

No6 traders

Total Value$473.37

Total Shares473

Combined PnL+$285.29

Yes — 40%No — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR	Yesavg 65.5¢	$240	—	-$240	49% 3867-4029 (7896)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Yesavg 89¢	$683.62	—	-$683.62	53% 2108-1855 (3963)
VE Venusian	Noavg 30¢	$30.77	$102.6	+$71.83	37% 968-1674 (2642)
LU LuckyLoo<$100	Noavg 81¢	$73.49	$90.74	+$17.25	36% 455-810 (1265)
LI LightParadox<$100	Noavg 12¢	$10.38	$86.5	+$76.12	37% 977-1669 (2646)
LI Limousin<$100	Noavg 12¢	$8.61	$71.75	+$63.14	36% 950-1657 (2607)
MA MadridTime<$100	Noavg 12¢	$7.59	$63.25	+$55.66	37% 985-1642 (2627)
poshposh<$100	Noavg 97.8¢	$57.24	$58.53	+$1.29	48% 1134-1214 (2348)
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100	Yesavg 1¢	$0.5	—	-$0.5	38% 550-887 (1437)
SU suntoriCTR	Yesavg 95.8¢	$276.27	—	-$258.62	46% 2702-3200 (5902)

Invested

$240

Value

—

PnL

-$240

Record

49%

3867-4029 (7896)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Invested

$683.62

Value

—

PnL

-$683.62

Record

53%

2108-1855 (3963)

Invested

$30.77

Value

$102.6

PnL

+$71.83

Record

37%

968-1674 (2642)

Invested

$73.49

Value

$90.74

PnL

+$17.25

Record

36%

455-810 (1265)

LightParadox<$100

Invested

$10.38

Value

$86.5

PnL

+$76.12

Record

37%

977-1669 (2646)

Invested

$8.61

Value

$71.75

PnL

+$63.14

Record

36%

950-1657 (2607)

MadridTime<$100

Invested

$7.59

Value

$63.25

PnL

+$55.66

Record

37%

985-1642 (2627)

Invested

$57.24

Value

$58.53

PnL

+$1.29

Record

48%

1134-1214 (2348)

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100

Invested

$0.5

Value

—

PnL

-$0.5

Record

38%

550-887 (1437)

Invested

$276.27

Value

—

PnL

-$258.62

Record

46%

2702-3200 (5902)

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x45fdd166...e4662f

Slug

el2-cre-new-2026-11-14-new

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Yes — $0

GoalLineGhost

Yes — $0

Venusian

No — $102.6

LuckyLoo

No — $90.74

LightParadox

No — $86.5

Limousin

No — $71.75

MadridTime

No — $63.25

poshposh

No — $58.53

0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846

Yes — $0

suntori

Yes — $0

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