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Over
poshposh<$100OverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Colchester United FC vs. Gillingham FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved Over. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
4
Under 75%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$322.01
Combined PnL
-$46.9
Smart Money Signal
Under
3 of 4 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over1 trader
Total Value$72.01
Total Shares72
Combined PnL+$2.16
Under3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares100
Combined PnL-$49.06
Over — 25%Under — 75%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Overavg 97.2¢ | $404.71 | $250 | -$154.71 | 49% 3959-4107 (8066) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 97.2¢ | $242.97 | $250 | +$7.03 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 40.2¢ | $161.74 | — | -$161.74 | |
poshposh<$100 | Overavg 97¢ | $69.85 | $72.01 | +$2.16 | 49% 1169-1236 (2405) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $44.49 | — | -$44.49 | 53% 2162-1905 (4067) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Underavg 24¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 38% 1014-1686 (2700) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Underavg 36¢ | $2.17 | — | -$2.17 | 37% 991-1715 (2706) |
FL
FlaznorpARB<$100Invested
$404.71
Value
$250
PnL
-$154.71
Record
49%
3959-4107 (8066)
Both legs:
Over$242.9797.2¢+$7.03
Under$161.7440.2¢-$161.74
poshposh<$100Invested
$69.85
Value
$72.01
PnL
+$2.16
Record
49%
1169-1236 (2405)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$44.49
Value
—
PnL
-$44.49
Record
53%
2162-1905 (4067)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
38%
1014-1686 (2700)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$2.17
Value
—
PnL
-$2.17
Record
37%
991-1715 (2706)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf2062e60...baf9e3
Slug
el2-col-gil-2026-11-14-total-1pt5