Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-11-08?
Resolved Yes. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
No 63%
$157
-$887.94
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SP spyGoodLuck77 | Yesavg 87.9¢ | $193.58 | $118 | -$15.44 | 62% 2045-1245 (3290) |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100 | Yesavg 61.5¢ | $12.3 | $20 | +$7.7 | 52% 6060-5587 (11647) |
 rayvanmechelen<$100 | Yesavg 41¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0.67 | 53% 2999-2623 (5622) |
FL FlaznorpCTR | Noavg 58¢ | $13.81 | — | -$136.26 | 52% 47368-44608 (91976) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Noavg 48.4¢ | $1.5K | — | -$728.44 | 50% 23496-23498 (46994) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 58¢ | $3.57 | — | -$3.57 | 50% 27970-27422 (55392) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | $20 | — | -$10 | 50% 32582-32710 (65292) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 52¢ | $5 | — | -$2.6 | 59% 52427-37141 (89568) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 195-152 (347) |
Invested
$193.58
Value
$118
PnL
-$15.44
Record
62%
2045-1245 (3290)
Invested
$12.3
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.7
Record
52%
6060-5587 (11647)
rayvanmechelen<$100Invested
$19
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.67
Record
53%
2999-2623 (5622)
Invested
$13.81
Value
—
PnL
-$136.26
Record
52%
47368-44608 (91976)
Invested
$1,506.28
Value
—
PnL
-$728.44
Record
50%
23496-23498 (46994)
Invested
$3.57
Value
—
PnL
-$3.57
Record
50%
27970-27422 (55392)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$10
Record
50%
32582-32710 (65292)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
59%
52427-37141 (89568)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
195-152 (347)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
spyGoodLuck77
Yes — $118
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
Yes — $20
rayvanmechelen
Yes — $19
Flaznorp
CTRNo — $0
omnibus-076daa
CTRNo — $0
sentrio
CTRNo — $0
GoalLineGhost
CTRNo — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRNo — $0
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRNo — $0