Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Abu Dhabi Championship?

Resolved Yes. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Yes 57%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Yes

4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%
No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes4 traders
Total Value$1.9K
Total Shares1,918
Combined PnL+$1.7K
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares424
Combined PnL-$13.6
Yes — 50%No — 50%
balthazar
Yes

Invested

$559.55

Value

$559.55

PnL

+$510.81

Record

34%

33217-64988 (98205)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$59.92

Value

$65

PnL

+$5.08

Record

58%

3248-2345 (5593)

Both legs:

Yes$58.7990.5¢+$6.21
No$1.130.1¢-$1.13
0X
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938<$100
Yes

Invested

$56.52

Value

$66.4

PnL

+$9.88

Record

45%

3029-3730 (6759)

probability
Yes

Invested

$37.69

Value

$812.45

PnL

+$774.76

Record

40%

1619-2432 (4051)

TH
TheWindKnowsmyNameCTR<$100
No

Invested

$13.19

Value

—

PnL

-$13.19

Record

51%

327-314 (641)

dips.
Yes

Invested

$71.58

Value

$480

PnL

+$408.42

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702CTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.21

Value

—

PnL

-$0.21

Record

39%

1311-2070 (3381)

0X
0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023CTR<$100
No

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

39%

1314-2061 (3375)

DR
DreamwireCTR<$100
No

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

79%

3530-933 (4463)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9ec06f7e...d94141
Slug
dpwt-2026-abu-dhabi-championship-winner-jon-rahm-win

Traders in this Market

balthazar

Yes — $559.55

+$510.81
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$5.08
0X

0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938

Yes — $66.4

+$9.88

probability

Yes — $812.45

+$774.76
TH

TheWindKnowsmyName

CTR

No — $0

-$13.19

dips.

Yes — $480

+$408.42
0X

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

CTR

No — $0

-$0.21
0X

0x1aBc2b469b5dED495d6C8B21Fc79dcb8d8f345E7-1778811281023

CTR

No — $0

-$0.2
DR

Dreamwire

CTR

No — $0

+$0
Trade on Polymarket