Dota 2: Zenith vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner

8 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Team Synapse (73%) · Team Synapse at 97¢ · $8K held · ends Nov 10

Zenith3¢Team Synapse97¢Ends Tue, Nov 10, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Team Synapse

Consensus Traders

Team Synapse 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$8.1K

Combined PnL

$675.05

Smart Money Entry

83.4¢ → 97¢

+16% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralTeam Synapse at 97%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Team Synapse

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Zenith3%

Team Synapse97%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Team Synapse8 traders

Total Value$7.4K

Total Shares7,875

Combined PnL+$837.16

Zenith3 traders

Total Value$180.68

Total Shares2,280

Combined PnL-$162.11

Team Synapse — 73%Zenith — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI Sisyphus-	Team Synapseavg 79.8¢	$3.0K	$3.6K	+$619.01	57% 503-385 (888)
XU xuxuntao	Team Synapseavg 88.3¢	$3.0K	$3.3K	+$279.09	29% 16-40 (56)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	Team Synapseavg 80.9¢	$500.83	$519.38	+$18.55	56% 3777-2944 (6721)
└ Team Synapse leg	Team Synapseavg 80.9¢	$415.54	$339.09	-$76.45
└ Zenith leg	Zenithavg 16.1¢	$85.29	$180.29	+$95
PO PourpelNourpel	Team Synapseavg 79¢	$306.38	$244.33	-$62.05	53% 17-15 (32)
XJ xjansfsaCTR	Zenithavg 10¢	$200	$140	-$60	33% 9-18 (27)
38 38791873984189	Team Synapseavg 75.2¢	$97.95	$111.34	+$13.39	48% 733-802 (1535)
OM omnibus-076daa	Team Synapseavg 77.7¢	$112.96	$102.55	-$10.41	34% 163-316 (479)
LR lryyy<$100	Team Synapseavg 84¢	$40.95	$42.26	+$1.31	50% 128-129 (257)
maytopmay<$100	Team Synapseavg 83.7¢	$41.74	$40.9	-$0.84	7% 15-187 (202)
BA BackTestEoCaraioCTR	Zenithavg 19.8¢	$608.33	$36.35	-$95.22	16% 10-54 (64)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	Team Synapseavg 79¢	$11.47	$9.15	-$2.32	10% 39-369 (408)
TE testBruno2CTR	Zenithavg 19.3¢	$102.6	$4.33	-$6.89	13% 4-28 (32)

Sisyphus-

Team Synapse

Invested

$2,964.12

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$619.01

Record

57%

503-385 (888)

xuxuntao

Team Synapse

Invested

$3,000

Value

$3.3K

PnL

+$279.09

Record

29%

16-40 (56)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$500.83

Value

$519.38

PnL

+$18.55

Record

56%

3777-2944 (6721)

Both legs:

Team Synapse$415.5480.9¢-$76.45

Zenith$85.2916.1¢+$95

PourpelNourpel

Team Synapse

Invested

$306.38

Value

$244.33

PnL

-$62.05

Record

53%

17-15 (32)

xjansfsaCTR

Zenith

Invested

$200

Value

$140

PnL

-$60

Record

33%

9-18 (27)

38791873984189

Team Synapse

Invested

$97.95

Value

$111.34

PnL

+$13.39

Record

48%

733-802 (1535)

omnibus-076daa

Team Synapse

Invested

$112.96

Value

$102.55

PnL

-$10.41

Record

34%

163-316 (479)

lryyy<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$40.95

Value

$42.26

PnL

+$1.31

Record

50%

128-129 (257)

maytopmay<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$41.74

Value

$40.9

PnL

-$0.84

Record

15-187 (202)

BackTestEoCaraioCTR

Zenith

Invested

$608.33

Value

$36.35

PnL

-$95.22

Record

16%

10-54 (64)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100

Team Synapse

Invested

$11.47

Value

$9.15

PnL

-$2.32

Record

10%

39-369 (408)

testBruno2CTR

Zenith

Invested

$102.6

Value

$4.33

PnL

-$6.89

Record

13%

4-28 (32)

Research grade

NeutralTeam Synapse at 97%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Team Synapse

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Team Synapse wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance98.1%

97.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$1.94

Max Loss

-$100.00

101.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.