Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

7 of 10 top Polymarket traders hold Zero Tenacity (70%) · Zero Tenacity at 98¢ · $6K held · ends Nov 14

Xipto Esports2¢Zero Tenacity98¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Zero Tenacity

Consensus Traders

Zero Tenacity 70%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.6K

Combined PnL

$332.89

Smart Money Entry

51.8¢ → 98¢

+89% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

NeutralZero Tenacity at 98%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Xipto Esports2%

Zero Tenacity98%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Zero Tenacity7 traders

Total Value$4.4K

Total Shares5,137

Combined PnL+$328.44

Xipto Esports3 traders

Total Value$650.35

Total Shares1,236

Combined PnL+$4.46

Zero Tenacity — 70%Xipto Esports — 30%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AM ameisgoat11	Zero Tenacityavg 58.4¢	$2.2K	$2.0K	-$187.42	41% 694-1010 (1704)
BI BillBenter2026	Zero Tenacityavg 58¢	$777.28	$945.87	+$224.13	29% 241-579 (820)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Zero Tenacityavg 58.6¢	$689.19	$862.05	+$172.85	50% 2523-2479 (5002)
NO NotJumpARB<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 50¢	$525	$540.75	+$15.75	52% 820-759 (1579)
└ Xipto Esports leg	Xipto Esportsavg 50¢	$262.5	$367.5	+$105
└ Zero Tenacity leg	Zero Tenacityavg 50¢	$262.5	$173.25	-$89.25
CR Crazyboy77CTR	Xipto Esportsavg 51¢	$509.99	$524.99	+$15	13% 15-103 (118)
HO Hongweiqian	Zero Tenacityavg 42.3¢	$227.29	$260.5	+$33.22	53% 240-209 (449)
JU JuiceFarm	Zero Tenacityavg 20.9¢	$148.38	$234.11	+$85.73	59% 44-31 (75)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR	Xipto Esportsavg 54.4¢	$114.77	$110.75	-$4.02	35% 264-485 (749)
Tolkonevminus2<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 95¢	$49.53	$50.86	+$1.33	46% 67-78 (145)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 58.1¢	$21.13	$14.61	-$6.53	46% 2653-3138 (5791)
GA Gaditima<$100	Zero Tenacityavg 38.4¢	$6.42	$5.01	-$1.4	48% 274-292 (566)

ameisgoat11

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$2,204.24

Value

$2.0K

PnL

-$187.42

Record

41%

694-1010 (1704)

BillBenter2026

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$777.28

Value

$945.87

PnL

+$224.13

Record

29%

241-579 (820)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$689.19

Value

$862.05

PnL

+$172.85

Record

50%

2523-2479 (5002)

NotJumpARB<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$525

Value

$540.75

PnL

+$15.75

Record

52%

820-759 (1579)

Both legs:

Xipto Esports$262.550¢+$105

Zero Tenacity$262.550¢-$89.25

Crazyboy77CTR

Xipto Esports

Invested

$509.99

Value

$524.99

PnL

+$15

Record

13%

15-103 (118)

Hongweiqian

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$227.29

Value

$260.5

PnL

+$33.22

Record

53%

240-209 (449)

JuiceFarm

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$148.38

Value

$234.11

PnL

+$85.73

Record

59%

44-31 (75)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoGCTR

Xipto Esports

Invested

$114.77

Value

$110.75

PnL

-$4.02

Record

35%

264-485 (749)

Tolkonevminus2<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$49.53

Value

$50.86

PnL

+$1.33

Record

46%

67-78 (145)

suntoriCTR<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$21.13

Value

$14.61

PnL

-$6.53

Record

46%

2653-3138 (5791)

Gaditima<$100

Zero Tenacity

Invested

$6.42

Value

$5.01

PnL

-$1.4

Record

48%

274-292 (566)

Research grade

NeutralZero Tenacity at 98%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Zero Tenacity

7 of 10 top traders (70%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Zero Tenacity wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.1%

98.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.91

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.