Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A

10 of 12 top Polymarket traders hold Xipto Esports (83%) · Xipto Esports at 100¢ · $21K held · ends Nov 7

Xipto Esports>99¢Power Rangers<1¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Xipto Esports

Consensus Traders

Xipto Esports 83%

Total Value

$20.9K

Combined PnL

$375.27

Smart Money Entry

78.9¢ → 100¢

+27% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

NeutralXipto Esports at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Xipto Esports

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Xipto Esports100%

Power Rangers0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Xipto Esports10 traders

Total Value$20.7K

Total Shares21,257

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Power Rangers2 traders

Total Value$240.93

Total Shares2,696

Combined PnL-$791.54

Xipto Esports — 83%Power Rangers — 17%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 85%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

75% of non-arb traders are on Xipto Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 85% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrXipto Esports 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Xipto Esports 75% · 4

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PV pvc975	Xipto Esportsavg 99.9¢	$7.3K	$7.4K	+$3.68	98% 18151-375 (18526)
AM ameisgoat11	Xipto Esportsavg 69.7¢	$5.7K	$5.8K	+$119.54	52% 9014-8167 (17181)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Xipto Esportsavg 65.2¢	$2.5K	$2.5K	+$17.42	52% 14650-13313 (27963)
CA calculate10	Xipto Esportsavg 62.9¢	$2.1K	$1.7K	+$578.24	54% 1328-1146 (2474)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Xipto Esportsavg 52.7¢	$701.88	$891.88	+$190	58% 955-684 (1639)
RI Richidd	Xipto Esportsavg 94.1¢	$802.46	$796.97	-$5.49	49% 60-63 (123)
38 38791873984189	Xipto Esportsavg 70.5¢	$1.1K	$778.8	-$16.66	48% 62393-67249 (129642)
FE ferrariChampions2026	Xipto Esportsavg 64.8¢	$604.34	$507.29	+$192.66	42% 8168-11359 (19527)
GA Gaditima	Xipto Esportsavg 71¢	$177.5	$249.88	+$72.38	47% 7500-8312 (15812)
JO JokerTheClownCTR	Power Rangersavg 38.5¢	$1.0K	$240.92	-$790.4	51% 4164-4031 (8195)
LR lryyy<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 72.9¢	$53.52	$68.55	+$15.03	47% 9560-10672 (20232)
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100	Power Rangersavg 6¢	$1.14	$0.01	-$1.13	48% 5547-6060 (11607)

pvc975

Xipto Esports

Invested

$7,346.67

Value

$7.4K

PnL

+$3.68

Record

98%

18151-375 (18526)

ameisgoat11

Xipto Esports

Invested

$5,669.44

Value

$5.8K

PnL

+$119.54

Record

52%

9014-8167 (17181)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Xipto Esports

Invested

$2,504.64

Value

$2.5K

PnL

+$17.42

Record

52%

14650-13313 (27963)

calculate10

Xipto Esports

Invested

$2,125.57

Value

$1.7K

PnL

+$578.24

Record

54%

1328-1146 (2474)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Xipto Esports

Invested

$701.88

Value

$891.88

PnL

+$190

Record

58%

955-684 (1639)

Richidd

Xipto Esports

Invested

$802.46

Value

$796.97

PnL

-$5.49

Record

49%

60-63 (123)

38791873984189

Xipto Esports

Invested

$1,101.35

Value

$778.8

PnL

-$16.66

Record

48%

62393-67249 (129642)

ferrariChampions2026

Xipto Esports

Invested

$604.34

Value

$507.29

PnL

+$192.66

Record

42%

8168-11359 (19527)

Gaditima

Xipto Esports

Invested

$177.5

Value

$249.88

PnL

+$72.38

Record

47%

7500-8312 (15812)

JokerTheClownCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,031.32

Value

$240.92

PnL

-$790.4

Record

51%

4164-4031 (8195)

lryyy<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$53.52

Value

$68.55

PnL

+$15.03

Record

47%

9560-10672 (20232)

SlickRick123CTR<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$1.14

Value

$0.01

PnL

-$1.13

Record

48%

5547-6060 (11607)

Research grade

NeutralXipto Esports at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Xipto Esports

10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 85%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

75% of non-arb traders are on Xipto Esports. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 85% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

ctrXipto Esports 50% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Xipto Esports 75% · 4

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Xipto Esports wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.