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UnderOverUnderUnderUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Under — but Over won instead.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Under. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Under 75%
Total Value
$65.09
Combined PnL
-$313.04
Smart Money Signal
Under
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over100%
Under0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,216
Combined PnL-$344.72
Over1 trader
Total Value$65.09
Total Shares65
Combined PnL+$31.68
Under — 80%Over — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BA BAPEHUKCTR | Underavg 19¢ | $190 | — | -$190 | 49% 404-416 (820) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 52.2¢ | $43.3 | $65.09 | +$31.68 | 47% 2054-2350 (4404) |
BA babyboy9CTR | Underavg 74.7¢ | $106.88 | — | -$106.88 | 54% 337-284 (621) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Underavg 73¢ | $47.84 | — | -$47.84 | 36% 14865-26983 (41848) |
YI yishiwuchengCTR<$100 | Underavg 18.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 41% 645-918 (1563) |
BA
BAPEHUKCTRInvested
$190
Value
—
PnL
-$190
Record
49%
404-416 (820)
AM
ameisgoat11<$100Invested
$43.3
Value
$65.09
PnL
+$31.68
Record
47%
2054-2350 (4404)
BA
babyboy9CTRInvested
$106.88
Value
—
PnL
-$106.88
Record
54%
337-284 (621)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
$47.84
Value
—
PnL
-$47.84
Record
36%
14865-26983 (41848)
YI
yishiwuchengCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
41%
645-918 (1563)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x38b3a5f5...d634b7
Slug
dota2-ty-ai1-2026-10-28-total-games-2pt5