Dota 2: Power Rangers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner

13 of 20 top Polymarket traders hold PlayTime (65%) · PlayTime at 100¢ · $80K held · ends Nov 8

Power Rangers<1¢PlayTime>99¢Ends Sun, Nov 8, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

PlayTime

Consensus Traders

PlayTime 65%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$79.6K

Combined PnL

$-6.8K

Smart Money Entry

72.9¢ → 100¢

+37% since entry · 13 traders

Research grade

NeutralPlayTime at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

PlayTime

13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Power Rangers0%

PlayTime100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

PlayTime13 traders

Total Value$66.9K

Total Shares80,167

Combined PnL+$405.19

Power Rangers7 traders

Total Value$11.2K

Total Shares49,363

Combined PnL$-7.2K

PlayTime — 65%Power Rangers — 35%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
YA yadens	PlayTimeavg 84.2¢	$24.2K	$28.0K	+$3.8K	71% 189-76 (265)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	PlayTimeavg 67.1¢	$23.4K	$24.1K	+$696.79	58% 959-687 (1646)
Medo3DCTR	Power Rangersavg 34.3¢	$12.0K	$4.0K	$-7.9K	41% 182-264 (446)
CA calculate10	PlayTimeavg 64.5¢	$10.4K	$3.7K	+$1.1K	54% 1335-1152 (2487)
0X 0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR	Power Rangersavg 21.9¢	$2.7K	$3.5K	+$860.78	43% 72-96 (168)
SkritopoolniyCTR	Power Rangersavg 34.9¢	$3.7K	$3.1K	-$623.38	47% 639-734 (1373)
BI BillBenter2026	PlayTimeavg 65.7¢	$3.2K	$2.5K	-$719.29	57% 19479-14427 (33906)
GO GooGooGaga1	PlayTimeavg 79¢	$3.3K	$2.0K	+$133.86	78% 69-20 (89)
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554	PlayTimeavg 78.1¢	$1.4K	$1.8K	+$383.39	54% 3572-3080 (6652)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	PlayTimeavg 57.7¢	$1.7K	$1.5K	-$169.45	53% 14954-13478 (28432)
MA madar78	PlayTimeavg 80¢	$27.3K	$1.3K	$-4.4K	67% 71-35 (106)
CR Crazyboy77	PlayTimeavg 33¢	$660	$1,000	+$340	53% 207-183 (390)
PO PourpelNourpelARB<$100	Power Rangersavg 31.2¢	$519.11	$749.97	+$230.86	53% 668-598 (1266)
└ PlayTime leg	PlayTimeavg 36¢	$258.99	$529.13	+$270.14
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 31.2¢	$260.12	$220.84	-$39.28
RA RandomVibecoderARB<$100	Power Rangersavg 34.8¢	$1.9K	$693.05	$-2.3K	48% 855-909 (1764)
└ PlayTime leg	PlayTimeavg 23.2¢	$117.43	$493.5	+$376.08
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 34.8¢	$2.6K	$199.55	$-2.7K
38 38791873984189	PlayTimeavg 57.7¢	$762.82	$528.94	-$67.26	48% 63191-68207 (131398)
cs2.quant	PlayTimeavg 58.5¢	$1,000	$292.18	-$707.82	58% 111-80 (191)
FE ferrariChampions2026CTR	Power Rangersavg 36.5¢	$234.94	$278.27	+$43.33	42% 8192-11384 (19576)
LR lryyyCTR	Power Rangersavg 45.3¢	$284.52	$211.75	-$72.77	47% 9585-10702 (20287)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR	Power Rangersavg 81.2¢	$255.15	$75.69	-$179.46	50% 21821-22062 (43883)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	PlayTimeavg 68.9¢	$50.79	$67.46	+$16.67	59% 6954-4900 (11854)
PA pauleta23<$100	PlayTimeavg 65.7¢	$51	$45.74	-$5.26	65% 24597-12971 (37568)
XU xuxuntaoCTR	Power Rangersavg 70.1¢	$5.1K	$0.08	+$711.64	61% 117-74 (191)

yadens

PlayTime

Invested

$24,234.03

Value

$28.0K

PnL

+$3.8K

Record

71%

189-76 (265)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

PlayTime

Invested

$23,386.23

Value

$24.1K

PnL

+$696.79

Record

58%

959-687 (1646)

Medo3DCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$11,967.67

Value

$4.0K

PnL

$-7.9K

Record

41%

182-264 (446)

calculate10

PlayTime

Invested

$10,370.74

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$1.1K

Record

54%

1335-1152 (2487)

0x6453Db824e2bFa4eAcE63b16F716ba663cf66a16-1740178698115CTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$2,676.97

Value

$3.5K

PnL

+$860.78

Record

43%

72-96 (168)

SkritopoolniyCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$3,686.47

Value

$3.1K

PnL

-$623.38

Record

47%

639-734 (1373)

BillBenter2026

PlayTime

Invested

$3,243.29

Value

$2.5K

PnL

-$719.29

Record

57%

19479-14427 (33906)

GooGooGaga1

PlayTime

Invested

$3,266.07

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$133.86

Record

78%

69-20 (89)

0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554

PlayTime

Invested

$1,374.17

Value

$1.8K

PnL

+$383.39

Record

54%

3572-3080 (6652)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

PlayTime

Invested

$1,708.33

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$169.45

Record

53%

14954-13478 (28432)

madar78

PlayTime

Invested

$27,338.19

Value

$1.3K

PnL

$-4.4K

Record

67%

71-35 (106)

Crazyboy77

PlayTime

Invested

$660

Value

$1,000

PnL

+$340

Record

53%

207-183 (390)

PourpelNourpelARB<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$519.11

Value

$749.97

PnL

+$230.86

Record

53%

668-598 (1266)

Both legs:

PlayTime$258.9936¢+$270.14

Power Rangers$260.1231.2¢-$39.28

RandomVibecoderARB<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$1,874.69

Value

$693.05

PnL

$-2.3K

Record

48%

855-909 (1764)

Both legs:

PlayTime$117.4323.2¢+$376.08

Power Rangers$2,621.734.8¢$-2.7K

38791873984189

PlayTime

Invested

$762.82

Value

$528.94

PnL

-$67.26

Record

48%

63191-68207 (131398)

cs2.quant

PlayTime

Invested

$1,000

Value

$292.18

PnL

-$707.82

Record

58%

111-80 (191)

ferrariChampions2026CTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$234.94

Value

$278.27

PnL

+$43.33

Record

42%

8192-11384 (19576)

lryyyCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$284.52

Value

$211.75

PnL

-$72.77

Record

47%

9585-10702 (20287)

omnibus-076daaCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$255.15

Value

$75.69

PnL

-$179.46

Record

50%

21821-22062 (43883)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100

PlayTime

Invested

$50.79

Value

$67.46

PnL

+$16.67

Record

59%

6954-4900 (11854)

pauleta23<$100

PlayTime

Invested

$51

Value

$45.74

PnL

-$5.26

Record

65%

24597-12971 (37568)

xuxuntaoCTR

Power Rangers

Invested

$5,100

Value

$0.08

PnL

+$711.64

Record

61%

117-74 (191)

Research grade

NeutralPlayTime at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

PlayTime

13 of 20 top traders (65%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that PlayTime wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.