Dota 2: Power Rangers vs angry birds (BO3) - 1win Essence Play-in Group A

9 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Power Rangers (60%) · Power Rangers at 96¢ · $69K held · ends Nov 11

Power Rangers96¢angry birds4¢Ends Wed, Nov 11, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Power Rangers

Consensus Traders

Power Rangers 60%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$68.7K

Combined PnL

$22.0K

Smart Money Entry

54.5¢ → 95.5¢

+75% since entry · 9 traders

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 96%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

9 of 15 top traders (60%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Power Rangers96%

angry birds5%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Power Rangers9 traders

Total Value$62.5K

Total Shares67,342

Combined PnL+$25.9K

angry birds6 traders

Total Value$2.2K

Total Shares11,427

Combined PnL$-3.8K

Power Rangers — 60%angry birds — 40%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 57%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

60% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 57% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpPower Rangers 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrangry birds 57% · 7

Diverging

Hand-pickedPower Rangers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Power Rangers 60% · 15

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Power Rangersavg 50.1¢	$10.6K	$20.2K	+$9.6K	46% 438-504 (942)
GE GeorgeRe	Power Rangersavg 56.8¢	$10.8K	$16.5K	+$5.7K	52% 701-635 (1336)
RA RandomVibecoder	Power Rangersavg 56.1¢	$6.1K	$10.3K	+$4.3K	48% 500-546 (1046)
SI Sisyphus-	Power Rangersavg 61.3¢	$5.3K	$8.3K	+$3.0K	57% 522-399 (921)
DO DotaBotReborn	Power Rangersavg 49.9¢	$2.9K	$5.5K	+$2.6K	63% 29-17 (46)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100	angry birdsavg 43.4¢	$4.7K	$2.2K	$-2.4K	53% 1821-1628 (3449)
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 43.4¢	$4.3K	$1.3K	$-3.0K
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 34.4¢	$380.72	$963.14	+$582.42
65 6512395314597884ARB<$100	angry birdsavg 46.4¢	$2.9K	$1.4K	$-1.4K	50% 3296-3249 (6545)
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 46.6¢	$411.85	$769.09	+$357.24
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 46.4¢	$2.3K	$644.22	$-1.8K
0X 0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR	angry birdsavg 49.9¢	$4.6K	$1.2K	$-3.4K	12% 25-190 (215)
PL plusti	Power Rangersavg 42¢	$517.01	$1.1K	+$553.94	27% 15-41 (56)
AM ameisgoat11CTR	angry birdsavg 75.4¢	$1.2K	$913.41	+$35.3	32% 297-622 (919)
PO PourpelNourpel	Power Rangersavg 61¢	$305.32	$435.45	+$130.13	53% 40-36 (76)
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100	angry birdsavg 50¢	$606.21	$252.85	-$353.35	23% 144-492 (636)
└ angry birds leg	angry birdsavg 50¢	$500.46	$130.18	-$370.27
└ Power Rangers leg	Power Rangersavg 75¢	$105.75	$122.67	+$16.92
PA pauleta23	Power Rangersavg 90¢	$200	$198.89	-$1.11	31% 210-477 (687)
SU suitcase6628CTR	angry birdsavg 52¢	$123.52	$45.88	-$77.64	64% 267-152 (419)
VV VVVSSPCTR	angry birdsavg 43¢	$363.78	$38.07	-$325.71	25% 17-51 (68)
ZT ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100	Power Rangersavg 62¢	$17.92	$25.15	+$7.23	22% 117-414 (531)
LR lryyyCTR<$100	angry birdsavg 39.1¢	$38.72	$12.87	-$25.85	45% 234-284 (518)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	angry birdsavg 38¢	$19	$6.5	-$12.5	53% 5734-5130 (10864)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

Power Rangers

Invested

$10,600

Value

$20.2K

PnL

+$9.6K

Record

46%

438-504 (942)

GeorgeRe

Power Rangers

Invested

$10,760.56

Value

$16.5K

PnL

+$5.7K

Record

52%

701-635 (1336)

RandomVibecoder

Power Rangers

Invested

$6,069.9

Value

$10.3K

PnL

+$4.3K

Record

48%

500-546 (1046)

Sisyphus-

Power Rangers

Invested

$5,340.32

Value

$8.3K

PnL

+$3.0K

Record

57%

522-399 (921)

DotaBotReborn

Power Rangers

Invested

$2,863.59

Value

$5.5K

PnL

+$2.6K

Record

63%

29-17 (46)

keeptheblueflagflyinghighARB<$100

angry birds

Invested

$4,671.86

Value

$2.2K

PnL

$-2.4K

Record

53%

1821-1628 (3449)

Both legs:

angry birds$4,291.1443.4¢$-3.0K

Power Rangers$380.7234.4¢+$582.42

6512395314597884ARB<$100

angry birds

Invested

$2,878.22

Value

$1.4K

PnL

$-1.4K

Record

50%

3296-3249 (6545)

Both legs:

Power Rangers$411.8546.6¢+$357.24

angry birds$2,297.4446.4¢$-1.8K

0xffAaEFb5f6762Cc70cb575Da8722E8C895E38cEe-1767374935341CTR

angry birds

Invested

$4,642.39

Value

$1.2K

PnL

$-3.4K

Record

12%

25-190 (215)

plusti

Power Rangers

Invested

$517.01

Value

$1.1K

PnL

+$553.94

Record

27%

15-41 (56)

ameisgoat11CTR

angry birds

Invested

$1,194.91

Value

$913.41

PnL

+$35.3

Record

32%

297-622 (919)

PourpelNourpel

Power Rangers

Invested

$305.32

Value

$435.45

PnL

+$130.13

Record

53%

40-36 (76)

BillBenter2026ARB<$100

angry birds

Invested

$606.21

Value

$252.85

PnL

-$353.35

Record

23%

144-492 (636)

Both legs:

angry birds$500.4650¢-$370.27

Power Rangers$105.7575¢+$16.92

pauleta23

Power Rangers

Invested

$200

Value

$198.89

PnL

-$1.11

Record

31%

210-477 (687)

suitcase6628CTR

angry birds

Invested

$123.52

Value

$45.88

PnL

-$77.64

Record

64%

267-152 (419)

VVVSSPCTR

angry birds

Invested

$363.78

Value

$38.07

PnL

-$325.71

Record

25%

17-51 (68)

ZTMZqClEsjMmwCDWXoG<$100

Power Rangers

Invested

$17.92

Value

$25.15

PnL

+$7.23

Record

22%

117-414 (531)

lryyyCTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$38.72

Value

$12.87

PnL

-$25.85

Record

45%

234-284 (518)

cigarettesCTR<$100

angry birds

Invested

$19

Value

$6.5

PnL

-$12.5

Record

53%

5734-5130 (10864)

Research grade

NeutralPower Rangers at 96%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.

Smart Money Signal

Power Rangers

9 of 15 top traders (60%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

9 traders

Top 2 hold 57%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

60% of non-arb traders are on Power Rangers. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 57% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

sharpPower Rangers 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrangry birds 57% · 7

Diverging

Hand-pickedPower Rangers 100% · 1

Aligned

Top 1000Power Rangers 60% · 15

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Power Rangers wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance96.7%

95.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$3.45

Max Loss

-$100.00

103.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.