Dota 2: OG vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner

36 of 54 top Polymarket traders hold GamerLegion (67%) · GamerLegion at 100¢ · $276K held · ends Oct 30

OG<1¢GamerLegion>99¢Ends Fri, Oct 30, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

GamerLegion

Consensus Traders

GamerLegion 67%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$276.5K

Combined PnL

$13.0K

Smart Money Entry

59.9¢ → 100¢

+67% since entry · 36 traders

Research grade

NeutralGamerLegion at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

GamerLegion

36 of 54 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed18 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

OG0%

GamerLegion100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

GamerLegion36 traders

Total Value$200.7K

Total Shares268,525

Combined PnL+$13.6K

OG18 traders

Total Value$67.1K

Total Shares166,426

Combined PnL-$669.55

GamerLegion — 67%OG — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PN pnhct	GamerLegionavg 64.9¢	$35.8K	$35.4K	-$430.17	54% 491-412 (903)
VP VPenguinCTR	OGavg 44.7¢	$33.2K	$33.8K	+$562.74	44% 804-1041 (1845)
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	GamerLegionavg 55.1¢	$21.4K	$22.7K	+$1.3K	58% 893-650 (1543)
GE GeorgeRe	GamerLegionavg 54.9¢	$17.9K	$19.7K	+$3.1K	54% 1077-931 (2008)
SI Sisyphus-	GamerLegionavg 56.7¢	$17.1K	$17.3K	+$239.44	57% 721-551 (1272)
YA yadens	GamerLegionavg 67.1¢	$11.5K	$14.0K	+$2.7K	70% 154-67 (221)
Medo3D	GamerLegionavg 59¢	$18.5K	$12.0K	-$439.2	40% 166-251 (417)
0X 0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239CTR	OGavg 46¢	$12.0K	$10.3K	$-1.7K	41% 286-418 (704)
Tokenn	GamerLegionavg 53.8¢	$10.1K	$10.2K	+$158.31	48% 652-706 (1358)
0X 0x42145460F32A84Dd27DF2dbd7afbeE779213dB99-1759056243872CTR	OGavg 46¢	$8.8K	$8.7K	-$95.18	43% 335-447 (782)
RA RandomVibecoder	GamerLegionavg 57.6¢	$5.0K	$7.9K	+$2.9K	49% 798-845 (1643)
Skritopoolniy	GamerLegionavg 51¢	$7.1K	$7.8K	+$627.37	48% 602-644 (1246)
cat3xcat3x	GamerLegionavg 73.9¢	$8.1K	$7.4K	+$707.18	56% 327-259 (586)
TH THEHIGHLIFE	GamerLegionavg 52.4¢	$6.3K	$6.3K	+$14.64	54% 2472-2128 (4600)
LU luckycat888888	GamerLegionavg 54.8¢	$5.4K	$5.6K	+$167.4	49% 39-40 (79)
PI PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRARB<$100	OGavg 39.6¢	$7.6K	$5.4K	$-1.1K	57% 162-122 (284)
└ OG leg	OGavg 39.6¢	$5.6K	$4.0K	$-1.6K
└ GamerLegion leg	GamerLegionavg 58¢	$1.1K	$1.3K	+$456.81
GO GooGooGaga1	GamerLegionavg 81.3¢	$6.2K	$5.3K	+$921.88	77% 37-11 (48)
1R 1rerrrCTR	OGavg 44.7¢	$5.2K	$5.1K	-$18.88	51% 1299-1269 (2568)
KA KaguyaNg	GamerLegionavg 53.5¢	$3.5K	$3.6K	+$68.3	49% 340-356 (696)
Up0nly	GamerLegionavg 66.8¢	$2.6K	$3.2K	+$791.82	68% 971-465 (1436)
GX gxxyy	GamerLegionavg 79.1¢	$2.8K	$3.0K	+$195.08	69% 491-218 (709)
EX Excentrico	GamerLegionavg 82¢	$2.4K	$2.6K	+$233.78	63% 301-175 (476)
maytopmay	GamerLegionavg 61.5¢	$2.5K	$2.4K	-$166.15	61% 280-180 (460)
JA JabamiYumekosRBQ	GamerLegionavg 67.7¢	$2.4K	$2.3K	-$48.72	60% 522-342 (864)
BU Bunnycat	GamerLegionavg 66.5¢	$2.6K	$2.3K	-$230.4	68% 78-36 (114)

pnhct

GamerLegion

Invested

$35,801.86

Value

$35.4K

PnL

-$430.17

Record

54%

491-412 (903)

VPenguinCTR

Invested

$33,221.99

Value

$33.8K

PnL

+$562.74

Record

44%

804-1041 (1845)

0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592

GamerLegion

Invested

$21,400

Value

$22.7K

PnL

+$1.3K

Record

58%

893-650 (1543)

GeorgeRe

GamerLegion

Invested

$17,892.55

Value

$19.7K

PnL

+$3.1K

Record

54%

1077-931 (2008)

Sisyphus-

GamerLegion

Invested

$17,066.27

Value

$17.3K

PnL

+$239.44

Record

57%

721-551 (1272)

yadens

GamerLegion

Invested

$11,541.27

Value

$14.0K

PnL

+$2.7K

Record

70%

154-67 (221)

Medo3D

GamerLegion

Invested

$18,533.74

Value

$12.0K

PnL

-$439.2

Record

40%

166-251 (417)

0xe2D0f0580716E47979206dcFF5220695e7967BbF-1763023416239CTR

Invested

$11,952.15

Value

$10.3K

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

41%

286-418 (704)

Tokenn

GamerLegion

Invested

$10,091.55

Value

$10.2K

PnL

+$158.31

Record

48%

652-706 (1358)

0x42145460F32A84Dd27DF2dbd7afbeE779213dB99-1759056243872CTR

Invested

$8,756.95

Value

$8.7K

PnL

-$95.18

Record

43%

335-447 (782)

RandomVibecoder

GamerLegion

Invested

$5,034.23

Value

$7.9K

PnL

+$2.9K

Record

49%

798-845 (1643)

Skritopoolniy

GamerLegion

Invested

$7,137.93

Value

$7.8K

PnL

+$627.37

Record

48%

602-644 (1246)

cat3xcat3x

GamerLegion

Invested

$8,055.86

Value

$7.4K

PnL

+$707.18

Record

56%

327-259 (586)

THEHIGHLIFE

GamerLegion

Invested

$6,315.75

Value

$6.3K

PnL

+$14.64

Record

54%

2472-2128 (4600)

luckycat888888

GamerLegion

Invested

$5,423.82

Value

$5.6K

PnL

+$167.4

Record

49%

39-40 (79)

PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTRARB<$100

Invested

$7,587.99

Value

$5.4K

PnL

$-1.1K

Record

57%

162-122 (284)

Both legs:

OG$5,599.9239.6¢$-1.6K

GamerLegion$1,091.1958¢+$456.81

GooGooGaga1

GamerLegion

Invested

$6,228.86

Value

$5.3K

PnL

+$921.88

Record

77%

37-11 (48)

1rerrrCTR

Invested

$5,158.27

Value

$5.1K

PnL

-$18.88

Record

51%

1299-1269 (2568)

KaguyaNg

GamerLegion

Invested

$3,491.53

Value

$3.6K

PnL

+$68.3

Record

49%

340-356 (696)

Up0nly

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,614.82

Value

$3.2K

PnL

+$791.82

Record

68%

971-465 (1436)

gxxyy

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,758.3

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$195.08

Record

69%

491-218 (709)

Excentrico

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,383.76

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$233.78

Record

63%

301-175 (476)

maytopmay

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,531.67

Value

$2.4K

PnL

-$166.15

Record

61%

280-180 (460)

JabamiYumekosRBQ

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,388.45

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$48.72

Record

60%

522-342 (864)

Bunnycat

GamerLegion

Invested

$2,560

Value

$2.3K

PnL

-$230.4

Record

68%

78-36 (114)

Research grade

NeutralGamerLegion at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).

Smart Money Signal

GamerLegion

36 of 54 top traders (67%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed18 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that GamerLegion wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

100.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.