Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Team Liquid — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Team Liquid
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG - Game 2 Winner
Resolved Team Liquid. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Team Liquid. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
55
Team Liquid 43%
9 arb excluded
$254.9K
$-1.9K
Smart Money Signal
25 of 55 top traders (45%)9 arbitrage traders dimmed30 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LhordGryffin | Team Liquidavg 99.9¢ | $45.9K | $46.0K | +$45.97 | 99% 1129-12 (1141) |
PN pnhctARB<$100 | Team Liquidavg 70.7¢ | $30.3K | $31.0K | +$687.34 | 54% 497-426 (923) |
| └ Team Liquid leg | Team Liquidavg 70.7¢ | $21.9K | $31.0K | +$9.1K | |
| └ OG leg | OGavg 27.7¢ | $8.4K | — | $-8.4K | |
0X 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | Team Liquidavg 60.9¢ | $29.0K | $47.6K | +$18.6K | 58% 899-651 (1550) |
SI Sisyphus- | Team Liquidavg 62.7¢ | $24.7K | $39.5K | +$15.1K | 57% 725-552 (1277) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Team Liquidavg 62.4¢ | $16.3K | $26.1K | +$9.8K | 49% 18987-19398 (38385) |
UN UNIVERSEMVPCTR | OGavg 19.3¢ | $7.9K | — | $-4.5K | 68% 77-37 (114) |
YA yadensCTR | OGavg 5.5¢ | $1.5K | — | $-1.5K | 70% 158-67 (225) |
 relativesignificanceCTR | OGavg 39.4¢ | $10.8K | — | $-10.6K | 57% 99-76 (175) |
 cat3xcat3xCTR | OGavg 35.7¢ | $6.1K | — | $-6.1K | 56% 330-262 (592) |
GX gxxyy | Team Liquidavg 89.9¢ | $11.7K | $13.0K | +$1.3K | 69% 494-219 (713) |
LU luckycat888888CTR | OGavg 37¢ | $5.2K | — | $-5.5K | 54% 50-43 (93) |
 CyberScore.liveCTR | OGavg 36.5¢ | $5.0K | — | $-5.0K | 46% 405-474 (879) |
GE GeorgeRe | Team Liquidavg 63¢ | $6.5K | $10.2K | +$3.8K | 54% 1081-933 (2014) |
 Medo3DCTR | OGavg 36.5¢ | $4.7K | — | $-4.7K | 40% 169-253 (422) |
 dodsterbotARB<$100 | Team Liquidavg 59¢ | $7.8K | $5.0K | +$415.9 | 46% 628-730 (1358) |
| └ Team Liquid leg | Team Liquidavg 59¢ | $2.9K | $5.0K | +$2.2K | |
| └ OG leg | OGavg 35.9¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | |
 SkritopoolniyCTR | OGavg 36.6¢ | $3.7K | — | $-3.7K | 48% 606-646 (1252) |
 maytopmay | Team Liquidavg 63.9¢ | $5.0K | $7.8K | +$2.8K | 61% 284-181 (465) |
BE BettongCTR | OGavg 26.8¢ | $2.9K | — | $-2.3K | 55% 336-271 (607) |
BA babyboy9ARB<$100 | Team Liquidavg 61.5¢ | $4.8K | $4.9K | +$1.4K | 55% 352-293 (645) |
| └ Team Liquid leg | Team Liquidavg 61.5¢ | $3.0K | $4.9K | +$1.9K | |
| └ OG leg | OGavg 30.2¢ | $803.4 | — | -$427.59 | |
0X 0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620CTR | OGavg 39.2¢ | $2.8K | — | $-3.1K | 56% 50-39 (89) |
ST StakesForFun | Team Liquidavg 78.4¢ | $15.0K | $5.6K | +$316.73 | 64% 384-218 (602) |
A8 a8999CTR | OGavg 38¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 44% 1089-1390 (2479) |
BU Bunnycat | Team Liquidavg 69.9¢ | $2.9K | $4.1K | +$1.2K | 69% 84-38 (122) |
PI pipipi150ARB<$100 | Team Liquidavg 77.6¢ | $2.6K | $2.4K | -$171.03 | 65% 1730-922 (2652) |
| └ Team Liquid leg | Team Liquidavg 77.6¢ | $1.9K | $2.4K | +$548.25 | |
| └ OG leg | OGavg 36¢ | $719.28 | — | -$719.28 | |
RA RandomVibecoderCTR | OGavg 39.5¢ | $1.7K | — | $-1.7K | 49% 803-847 (1650) |
LhordGryffinInvested
$45,925.03
Value
$46.0K
PnL
+$45.97
Record
99%
1129-12 (1141)
Invested
$30,320.02
Value
$31.0K
PnL
+$687.34
Record
54%
497-426 (923)
Both legs:
Invested
$28,983.79
Value
$47.6K
PnL
+$18.6K
Record
58%
899-651 (1550)
Invested
$24,743.55
Value
$39.5K
PnL
+$15.1K
Record
57%
725-552 (1277)
Invested
$16,308.58
Value
$26.1K
PnL
+$9.8K
Record
49%
18987-19398 (38385)
Invested
$7,947.49
Value
—
PnL
$-4.5K
Record
68%
77-37 (114)
Invested
$1,524.25
Value
—
PnL
$-1.5K
Record
70%
158-67 (225)
relativesignificanceCTRInvested
$10,801.74
Value
—
PnL
$-10.6K
Record
57%
99-76 (175)
cat3xcat3xCTRInvested
$6,137.19
Value
—
PnL
$-6.1K
Record
56%
330-262 (592)
Invested
$11,653.82
Value
$13.0K
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
69%
494-219 (713)
Invested
$5,180
Value
—
PnL
$-5.5K
Record
54%
50-43 (93)
CyberScore.liveCTRInvested
$4,999.98
Value
—
PnL
$-5.0K
Record
46%
405-474 (879)
Invested
$6,460.69
Value
$10.2K
PnL
+$3.8K
Record
54%
1081-933 (2014)
Medo3DCTRInvested
$4,749.16
Value
—
PnL
$-4.7K
Record
40%
169-253 (422)
dodsterbotARB<$100Invested
$7,841.31
Value
$5.0K
PnL
+$415.9
Record
46%
628-730 (1358)
Both legs:
SkritopoolniyCTRInvested
$3,692.94
Value
—
PnL
$-3.7K
Record
48%
606-646 (1252)
maytopmayInvested
$5,038.56
Value
$7.8K
PnL
+$2.8K
Record
61%
284-181 (465)
Invested
$2,890.77
Value
—
PnL
$-2.3K
Record
55%
336-271 (607)
Invested
$4,840.5
Value
$4.9K
PnL
+$1.4K
Record
55%
352-293 (645)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,819.14
Value
—
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
56%
50-39 (89)
Invested
$14,996.23
Value
$5.6K
PnL
+$316.73
Record
64%
384-218 (602)
Invested
$2,121.16
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
44%
1089-1390 (2479)
Invested
$2,900
Value
$4.1K
PnL
+$1.2K
Record
69%
84-38 (122)
Invested
$2,619.02
Value
$2.4K
PnL
-$171.03
Record
65%
1730-922 (2652)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,706.52
Value
—
PnL
$-1.7K
Record
49%
803-847 (1650)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
LhordGryffin
Team Liquid — $46.0K
pnhct
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592
Team Liquid — $47.6K
Sisyphus-
Team Liquid — $39.5K
omnibus-076daa
Team Liquid — $26.1K
UNIVERSEMVP
CTROG — $0
yadens
CTROG — $0
relativesignificance
CTROG — $0
cat3xcat3x
CTROG — $0
gxxyy
Team Liquid — $13.0K