Dota 2: CyberHero vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

8 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold CyberHero (73%) · CyberHero at 76¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 14

CyberHero76¢Xipto Esports24¢Ends Sat, Nov 14, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

CyberHero

Consensus Traders

CyberHero 73%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.9K

Combined PnL

$87.43

Smart Money Entry

57¢ → 76¢

+33% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 76%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

CyberHero76%

Xipto Esports24%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

CyberHero8 traders

Total Value$699.93

Total Shares851

Combined PnL+$72.44

Xipto Esports3 traders

Total Value$208.24

Total Shares533

Combined PnL+$14.99

CyberHero — 73%Xipto Esports — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
YI yishiwuchengARB<$100	CyberHeroavg 61¢	$774.81	$848.12	+$73.31	57% 73-54 (127)
└ CyberHero leg	CyberHeroavg 61¢	$515.07	$536.57	+$21.5
└ Xipto Esports leg	Xipto Esportsavg 30.4¢	$259.74	$311.55	+$51.81
BI BillBenter2026	CyberHeroavg 55.9¢	$253.34	$303.51	+$56.62	28% 212-558 (770)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	CyberHeroavg 50¢	$200	$200	+$0	75% 112-37 (149)
JU JuiceFarmCTR	Xipto Esportsavg 38¢	$142.08	$155.17	+$13.09	58% 33-24 (57)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100	CyberHeroavg 72.1¢	$159.89	$151.34	-$8.56	56% 3980-3112 (7092)
└ CyberHero leg	CyberHeroavg 72.1¢	$112.28	$114.45	+$2.17
└ Xipto Esports leg	Xipto Esportsavg 34.2¢	$47.61	$36.89	-$10.73
BI biying99999<$100	CyberHeroavg 55¢	$49.5	$52.65	+$3.15	33% 88-181 (269)
JA JabamiYumekosRBQ<$100	CyberHeroavg 61¢	$38.43	$47.57	+$9.13	— 11-4 (15)
CA calculate10CTR<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 29¢	$31.28	$33.44	+$2.16	34% 65-125 (190)
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100	CyberHeroavg 72¢	$32.4	$33.08	+$0.67	43% 312-419 (731)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100	CyberHeroavg 72¢	$24.91	$24.05	-$0.86	50% 2262-2219 (4481)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	CyberHeroavg 63.1¢	$17.04	$20.39	+$3.35	40% 589-893 (1482)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Xipto Esportsavg 39¢	$19.89	$19.64	-$0.25	48% 2787-3042 (5829)
poshposh<$100	CyberHeroavg 72¢	$18.32	$18.7	+$0.38	47% 786-902 (1688)

yishiwuchengARB<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$774.81

Value

$848.12

PnL

+$73.31

Record

57%

73-54 (127)

Both legs:

CyberHero$515.0761¢+$21.5

Xipto Esports$259.7430.4¢+$51.81

BillBenter2026

CyberHero

Invested

$253.34

Value

$303.51

PnL

+$56.62

Record

28%

212-558 (770)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

CyberHero

Invested

$200

Value

$200

PnL

+$0

Record

75%

112-37 (149)

JuiceFarmCTR

Xipto Esports

Invested

$142.08

Value

$155.17

PnL

+$13.09

Record

58%

33-24 (57)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$159.89

Value

$151.34

PnL

-$8.56

Record

56%

3980-3112 (7092)

Both legs:

CyberHero$112.2872.1¢+$2.17

Xipto Esports$47.6134.2¢-$10.73

biying99999<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$49.5

Value

$52.65

PnL

+$3.15

Record

33%

88-181 (269)

JabamiYumekosRBQ<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$38.43

Value

$47.57

PnL

+$9.13

Record

—

11-4 (15)

calculate10CTR<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$31.28

Value

$33.44

PnL

+$2.16

Record

34%

65-125 (190)

0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$32.4

Value

$33.08

PnL

+$0.67

Record

43%

312-419 (731)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$24.91

Value

$24.05

PnL

-$0.86

Record

50%

2262-2219 (4481)

ameisgoat11<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$17.04

Value

$20.39

PnL

+$3.35

Record

40%

589-893 (1482)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Xipto Esports

Invested

$19.89

Value

$19.64

PnL

-$0.25

Record

48%

2787-3042 (5829)

poshposh<$100

CyberHero

Invested

$18.32

Value

$18.7

PnL

+$0.38

Record

47%

786-902 (1688)

Research grade

NeutralCyberHero at 76%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

CyberHero

8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that CyberHero wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance77.9%

76.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$28.39

Max Loss

-$100.00

128.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.