Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Aurora — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Aurora
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs CyberHero (+1.5)
Resolved Aurora. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Aurora. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Aurora 50%
1 arb excluded
$6.6K
$-1.5K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975 | Auroraavg 99.9¢ | $5.8K | $5.8K | +$5.77 | 98% 419-8 (427) |
 forsenxdCTR | CyberHeroavg 37.8¢ | $2.2K | — | $-1.6K | 49% 378-397 (775) |
BI biying99999ARB<$100 | CyberHeroavg 37¢ | $259.86 | $143.13 | -$116.73 | 36% 116-207 (323) |
| └ CyberHero leg | CyberHeroavg 37¢ | $172.55 | — | -$172.55 | |
| └ Aurora leg | Auroraavg 61¢ | $87.31 | $143.13 | +$55.82 | |
AM ameisgoat11 | Auroraavg 79.5¢ | $281.13 | $341.3 | +$66.32 | 41% 706-1015 (1721) |
PO pol2131 | Auroraavg 60¢ | $185.79 | $309.65 | +$123.86 | 38% 36-60 (96) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | CyberHeroavg 40¢ | $46.05 | — | -$46.05 | 46% 516-615 (1131) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | CyberHeroavg 50¢ | $25 | — | -$25 | 46% 2830-3355 (6185) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles | Auroraavg 50¢ | $200 | — | +$0 | 69% 136-62 (198) |
Invested
$5,762.23
Value
$5.8K
PnL
+$5.77
Record
98%
419-8 (427)
forsenxdCTRInvested
$2,222.54
Value
—
PnL
$-1.6K
Record
49%
378-397 (775)
Invested
$259.86
Value
$143.13
PnL
-$116.73
Record
36%
116-207 (323)
Both legs:
Invested
$281.13
Value
$341.3
PnL
+$66.32
Record
41%
706-1015 (1721)
Invested
$185.79
Value
$309.65
PnL
+$123.86
Record
38%
36-60 (96)
Invested
$46.05
Value
—
PnL
-$46.05
Record
46%
516-615 (1131)
Invested
$25
Value
—
PnL
-$25
Record
46%
2830-3355 (6185)
Invested
$200
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
69%
136-62 (198)