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UpDownDownUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$61.04
Combined PnL
-$78.79
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares164
Combined PnL-$92.83
Down2 traders
Total Value$61.04
Total Shares61
Combined PnL+$14.05
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.7¢ | $84.37 | — | -$84.37 | 49% 3718-3826 (7544) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $33.63 | $24.04 | -$9.59 | 49% 2590-2661 (5251) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 36.1¢ | $13.36 | $37 | +$23.64 | 43% 2210-2957 (5167) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 57.2¢ | $7.22 | — | -$7.22 | 58% 4049-2979 (7028) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 48¢ | $1.24 | — | -$1.24 | 50% 1799-1825 (3624) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$84.37
Value
—
PnL
-$84.37
Record
49%
3718-3826 (7544)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$33.63
Value
$24.04
PnL
-$9.59
Record
49%
2590-2661 (5251)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$13.36
Value
$37
PnL
+$23.64
Record
43%
2210-2957 (5167)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$7.22
Value
—
PnL
-$7.22
Record
58%
4049-2979 (7028)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.24
Value
—
PnL
-$1.24
Record
50%
1799-1825 (3624)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe328ceff...9a36ea
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794781800