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DownUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$22.45
Combined PnL
-$11.46
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down1 trader
Total Value$22.45
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$1.24
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$12.7
Down — 20%Up — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $22.89 | $22.45 | +$1.24 | 49% 3651-3756 (7407) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 53.1¢ | $9.35 | — | -$9.35 | 58% 4023-2943 (6966) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 47% 2471-2739 (5210) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 49% 2537-2616 (5153) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 12.5¢ | $0.29 | — | -$0.29 | 42% 2132-2886 (5018) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$22.89
Value
$22.45
PnL
+$1.24
Record
49%
3651-3756 (7407)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100Invested
$9.35
Value
—
PnL
-$9.35
Record
58%
4023-2943 (6966)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
47%
2471-2739 (5210)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
49%
2537-2616 (5153)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100Invested
$0.29
Value
—
PnL
-$0.29
Record
42%
2132-2886 (5018)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe4b407c7...d3e468
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794770100