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DownUpUp
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100DownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$19.88
Combined PnL
$1.76
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares32
Combined PnL-$8.01
Up3 traders
Total Value$19.88
Total Shares20
Combined PnL+$9.77
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.7¢ | $5.07 | — | -$5.07 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $6.1 | $10 | +$3.9 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Upavg 41.1¢ | $3.24 | $7.88 | +$4.65 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 15.3¢ | $2.81 | — | -$2.81 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 39¢ | $0.78 | $2 | +$1.22 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $0.12 | — | -$0.12 | 49% 2456-2514 (4970) |
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$5.07
Value
—
PnL
-$5.07
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100Invested
$6.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.9
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100Invested
$3.24
Value
$7.88
PnL
+$4.65
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$2.81
Value
—
PnL
-$2.81
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
$2
PnL
+$1.22
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
—
PnL
-$0.12
Record
49%
2456-2514 (4970)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeb05f227...a8fc50
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794755700