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UpDownDownDownDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$925.5
Combined PnL
-$93.56
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,304
Combined PnL-$111.75
Down4 traders
Total Value$925.5
Total Shares926
Combined PnL+$18.2
Up — 20%Down — 80%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 8.6¢ | $111.75 | — | -$111.75 | 43% 1879-2519 (4398) |
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $712.36 | $713.07 | +$0.71 | 52% 1470-1346 (2816) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 94.1¢ | $170.38 | $181 | +$10.62 | 58% 3865-2801 (6666) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $15.14 | $15.68 | +$0.54 | 50% 3397-3361 (6758) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 66.1¢ | $18.44 | $15.75 | +$6.33 | 60% 3949-2687 (6636) |
0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTRInvested
$111.75
Value
—
PnL
-$111.75
Record
43%
1879-2519 (4398)
0X
0x50f7Invested
$712.36
Value
$713.07
PnL
+$0.71
Record
52%
1470-1346 (2816)
0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eInvested
$170.38
Value
$181
PnL
+$10.62
Record
58%
3865-2801 (6666)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$15.14
Value
$15.68
PnL
+$0.54
Record
50%
3397-3361 (6758)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$18.44
Value
$15.75
PnL
+$6.33
Record
60%
3949-2687 (6636)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfad2e109...7e4706
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794721500