Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
5
Up 60%
$54.63
$1.05
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $25.05 | $32.63 | +$7.59 | 51% 3248-3166 (6414) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 56¢ | $12.32 | $22 | +$9.68 | 58% 3692-2676 (6368) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 44.6¢ | $7.93 | — | -$7.93 | 59% 3783-2578 (6361) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $2.58 | — | -$2.58 | 42% 1736-2377 (4113) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $5.7 | — | -$5.7 | 48% 2195-2413 (4608) |
Invested
$25.05
Value
$32.63
PnL
+$7.59
Record
51%
3248-3166 (6414)
Invested
$12.32
Value
$22
PnL
+$9.68
Record
58%
3692-2676 (6368)
Invested
$7.93
Value
—
PnL
-$7.93
Record
59%
3783-2578 (6361)
Invested
$2.58
Value
—
PnL
-$2.58
Record
42%
1736-2377 (4113)
Invested
$5.7
Value
—
PnL
-$5.7
Record
48%
2195-2413 (4608)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $32.63
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $22
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp — $0
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp — $0