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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 18% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 22%

Total Value

$340.23

Combined PnL

-$91.57

Smart Money Signal

Up

2 of 11 top traders (18%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$340.23
Total Shares340
Combined PnL+$62.88
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares662
Combined PnL-$154.46
Down — 82%Up — 18%
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$52.26

Value

$72

PnL

+$19.74

Record

51%

3203-3131 (6334)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$54.1

Value

$70

PnL

+$15.9

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down

Invested

$138.51

Value

$59.66

PnL

-$3.61

Record

58%

3639-2637 (6276)

AL
almach<$100
Down

Invested

$33.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$6.4

Record

51%

1428-1364 (2792)

BO
bosona<$100
Down

Invested

$33.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$6.4

Record

51%

4672-4495 (9167)

MO
mo-money<$100
Down

Invested

$33.6

Value

$40

PnL

+$6.4

Record

51%

1417-1386 (2803)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$14.5

Value

—

PnL

-$14.5

Record

71%

1607-666 (2273)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Down

Invested

$8.34

Value

$17.14

PnL

+$8.8

Record

48%

1266-1353 (2619)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$0.56

Value

$0.73

PnL

+$0.17

Record

47%

2188-2425 (4613)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$18.3

Value

$0.7

PnL

+$2.68

Record

59%

3720-2542 (6262)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR
Up

Invested

$139.96

Value

—

PnL

-$139.96

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4cb3d05c...eedc7d
Slug
doge-updown-15m-1794690900

Traders in this Market

0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $72

+$19.74

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $70

+$15.9
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $59.66

-$3.61
AL

almach

Down — $40

+$6.4
BO

bosona

Down — $40

+$6.4
MO

mo-money

Down — $40

+$6.4

BoneOhio

CTR

Up — $0

-$14.5
PB

PBot-5

Down — $17.14

+$8.8
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0.73

+$0.17
AA

aaa221

Down — $0.7

+$2.68
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