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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Down 71%

Total Value

$659.76

Combined PnL

-$133.3

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$659.76

Total Shares660

Combined PnL+$46.97

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,229

Combined PnL-$180.27

Down — 71%Up — 29%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x50f7	Downavg 99.9¢	$320.3	$320.62	+$0.32	52% 1395-1293 (2688)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 90.2¢	$135.25	$150	+$14.75	58% 3639-2637 (6276)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 69.5¢	$103.72	$128	+$24.28	51% 3203-3131 (6334)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 83.7¢	$30.26	$36.14	+$5.88	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 93¢	$23.25	$25	+$1.75	49% 2276-2326 (4602)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 8¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR	Upavg 14.7¢	$179.07	—	-$179.07	42% 1702-2303 (4005)

Invested

$320.3

Value

$320.62

PnL

+$0.32

Record

52%

1395-1293 (2688)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$135.25

Value

$150

PnL

+$14.75

Record

58%

3639-2637 (6276)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$103.72

Value

$128

PnL

+$24.28

Record

51%

3203-3131 (6334)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$30.26

Value

$36.14

PnL

+$5.88

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$23.25

Value

$25

PnL

+$1.75

Record

49%

2276-2326 (4602)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

47%

2188-2425 (4613)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR

Invested

$179.07

Value

—

PnL

-$179.07

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x57f9f5e0...148339

Slug

doge-updown-15m-1794688200

Traders in this Market

0x50f7

Down — $320.62

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $150

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $128

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $36.14

uninformedfloww

Down — $25

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

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